FC Tokyo
vs
Mito Hollyhock
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Tokyo
2 – 0 Predicted score · 15% model probability
FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock
| Probability | FC Tokyo | Draw | Mito Hollyhock |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 79.5% | 15.2% | 5.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 79.5% | 15.2% | 5.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why FC Tokyo
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.46 vs 0.52.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock match preview
FC Tokyo enters this match against Mito Hollyhock with a strong recent form, having won their last six matches. The model predicts a high probability of victory for FC Tokyo at 79%, with a most likely scoreline of 2-0, occurring 15% of the time. Their expected goals stand at 2.45, indicating a solid offensive capability.
In contrast, Mito Hollyhock has struggled lately, recording four losses and one draw in their last five matches. The model gives them a mere 5% chance of winning, with expected goals of only 0.52. Historically, FC Tokyo has performed well against Mito Hollyhock, winning one match and drawing the other in their last two encounters. The likelihood of both teams scoring is at 38%, suggesting a potential challenge for Mito Hollyhock's offense.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Tokyo and Mito Hollyhock expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.98
FC Tokyo and Mito Hollyhock attack and defence ratings
FC Tokyo
Mito Hollyhock
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Kashima v Kashiwa Reysol — match page
- Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka
- Vissel Kobe v Machida Zelvia — match page
- Gamba Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga
- Nagoya Grampus vs Yokohama F. Marinos
- Cerezo Osaka v JEF United Chiba — match page
- Urawa vs V-varen Nagasaki — team news & stats
- Kawasaki Frontale vs Fagiano Okayama — team news & stats
Before and after this match
FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Tokyo | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 94.7% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | FC Tokyo win | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Tokyo | 79.5% |
| Draw | 15.2% | |
| Mito Hollyhock | 5.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.6% |
| No | 62.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 94.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 20.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Tokyo win | 57.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 20.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 15.4% |
| 3-0 | 12.6% | |
| 1-0 | 11.9% |
FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock stats
FC Tokyo and Mito Hollyhock recent form
| FC Tokyo |
WWWWWW |
| Mito Hollyhock |
LLLLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Tokyo and Mito Hollyhock season so far
FC Tokyo record
- They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game on the road against 1.8 at home.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Mito Hollyhock record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | FC Tokyo | Mito Hollyhock | J1 League | 5-2 |
| 2026-03-14 | Mito Hollyhock | FC Tokyo | J1 League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.