JEF United Chiba
vs
Yokohama F. Marinos
Garuda Lions Prediction: Yokohama F. Marinos
0 – 1 Predicted score · 14% model probability
JEF United Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos overview
Garuda Lions analysis: JEF United Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos
| Probability | JEF United Chiba | Draw | Yokohama F. Marinos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 12.5% | 24.1% | 63.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 12.5% | 24.1% | 63.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Yokohama F. Marinos
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.82 vs 0.69.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
JEF United Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos match preview
JEF United Chiba faces Yokohama F. Marinos in their upcoming J1 League match, with the model assigning a 12% probability of a JEF United Chiba win, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 63% likelihood of a Yokohama F. Marinos victory. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 14%. Expected goals suggest JEF United Chiba will score 0.69, while Yokohama F. Marinos is projected to net 1.82.
In terms of recent form, JEF United Chiba has recorded two losses, a draw, and a win in their last five matches, while Yokohama F. Marinos has shown more consistency with three wins and two draws. The head-to-head record indicates no wins or draws for JEF United Chiba against Yokohama F. Marinos in their last two encounters, with Yokohama winning both.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
JEF United Chiba and Yokohama F. Marinos expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.51
JEF United Chiba and Yokohama F. Marinos attack and defence ratings
JEF United Chiba
Yokohama F. Marinos
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
JEF United Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 63.5% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.2% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 87.5% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Yokohama F. Marinos win | 38.2% | 2.61 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | JEF United Chiba | 12.5% |
| Draw | 24.1% | |
| Yokohama F. Marinos | 63.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.6% |
| No | 57.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 36.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 87.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Yokohama F. Marinos win | 38.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.2% | |
| Loss | 36.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 13.8% |
| 0-2 | 13.5% | |
| 1-1 | 11.2% |
JEF United Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos stats
JEF United Chiba and Yokohama F. Marinos recent form
| JEF United Chiba |
LLDWLL |
| Yokohama F. Marinos |
DWWDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
JEF United Chiba and Yokohama F. Marinos season so far
JEF United Chiba record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Yokohama F. Marinos record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
JEF United Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-29 | JEF United Chiba | Yokohama F. Marinos | J1 League | 2-3 |
| 2026-03-14 | Yokohama F. Marinos | JEF United Chiba | J1 League | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.