J1 League
·
Full time
·Matchday 10
JEF United Chiba
vs
Yokohama F. Marinos
0 – 0 Full time
| 13′ | Tomoki Kondo | ||
| 45′ | Rikuto IshioTakayuki Mae | ||
| 61′ | Jun AmanoTevis Gabriel Alves Santos | ||
| 61′ | Riku YamaneKei Chinen | ||
| 62′ | Naohiro SugiyamaKazuki Tanaka | ||
| 68′ | Takayuki Mae | ||
| 69′ | Tomoki KondoJordy Croux | ||
| 69′ | Takuto KimuraTaisei Inoue | ||
| 72′ | Luiz Eduardo Fleuri PachecoYusuke Kobayashi | ||
| 73′ | Takuya YasuiTaishi Taguchi | ||
| 74′ | Toichi Suzuki | ||
| 75′ | Boniface Nduka | ||
| 81′ | Ken YamuraHiroto Goya | ||
| 82′ | Ryo MiyaichiRio Nitta | ||
| 87′ | Taishi Taguchi | ||
| 90′ | Jordy Croux | ||
| 90′ | Erison Danilo de Souza |
JEF United Chiba
23%
Draw
26%
Yokohama F. Marinos
51%
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 42 | Possession % | 58 |
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
| 17 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 4 |
| 216 | Accurate passes | 333 |
JEF United Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos overview
Garuda Lions analysis: JEF United Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos
| Probability | JEF United Chiba | Draw | Yokohama F. Marinos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 13.5% | 25.1% | 61.4% |
| Market | 26.3% | 26.4% | 47.3% |
| Final | 23.1% | 26.1% | 50.8% |
| Edge | -3.2% | -0.3% | +3.5% |
Why Yokohama F. Marinos
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.75 vs 0.70.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Yokohama F. Marinos below our published probability: +3.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
90%
2+ goals
71%
3+ goals
44%
No goals
10%
JEF United Chiba and Yokohama F. Marinos expected goals
JEF United Chiba
0.70
Yokohama F. Marinos
1.75
Total expected goals: 2.45
JEF United Chiba and Yokohama F. Marinos attack and defence ratings
JEF United Chiba
Attack
0.76 -24%
Defence
1.23 +23%
Yokohama F. Marinos
Attack
1.09 +9%
Defence
0.64 -36%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
JEF United Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos: result vs prediction
JEF United Chiba 0 – 0 Yokohama F. Marinos
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Shimizu S-pulse v Gamba Osaka — match page
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga
- Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo — team news & stats
- Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale — team news & stats
- Kashima v V-varen Nagasaki — match page
- Mito Hollyhock v Urawa — match page
- Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus — team news & stats
- Fagiano Okayama vs Vissel Kobe — team news & stats
Before and after this match
JEF United Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 50.8% | 1.97 | +3.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.7% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.3% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 38.6% | 2.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | JEF United Chiba | 23.1% |
| Draw | 26.1% | |
| Yokohama F. Marinos | 50.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.7% |
| No | 57.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 49.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Yokohama F. Marinos win | 36.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.4% | |
| Loss | 38.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 14.0% |
| 0-2 | 13.2% | |
| 1-1 | 11.7% |
JEF United Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos stats
JEF United Chiba and Yokohama F. Marinos recent form
| JEF United Chiba |
DLLDWL |
| Yokohama F. Marinos |
DWWDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
JEF United Chiba and Yokohama F. Marinos going into this match
JEF United Chiba record
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Yokohama F. Marinos record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
JEF United Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
0JEF United Chiba wins
0Draws
2Yokohama F. Marinos wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-29 | JEF United Chiba | Yokohama F. Marinos | J1 League | 2-3 |
| 2026-03-14 | Yokohama F. Marinos | JEF United Chiba | J1 League | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
JEF United Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 26.3%, draw 26.4%, away 47.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.64 | 3.66 | 2.00 |
| Bet365 | 3.60 | 3.50 | 1.91 |
| BetVictor | 3.60 | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| Betano | 3.70 | 3.45 | 1.95 |
| Betfair | 3.50 | 3.75 | 1.95 |
| Dafabet | 3.60 | 3.60 | 2.07 |
| Marathonbet | 3.55 | 3.56 | 1.95 |
| Pinnacle | 3.68 | 3.66 | 2.02 |
| SBO | 3.24 | 3.10 | 2.01 |
| William Hill | 3.40 | 3.30 | 2.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
3.60 ▼ -0.10
X
3.58 ▼ -0.08
2
2.00 ▲ +0.07
10 snapshots recorded, from .