Omiya Ardija
vs
Vanraure Hachinohe
2 – 0 Full time
Omiya Ardija vs Vanraure Hachinohe overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Omiya Ardija vs Vanraure Hachinohe
| Probability | Omiya Ardija | Draw | Vanraure Hachinohe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.6% | 25.0% | 20.5% |
| Market | 52.5% | 25.9% | 21.6% |
| Final | 53.0% | 25.7% | 21.3% |
| Edge | +2.1% | -1.0% | -1.1% |
Why Omiya Ardija
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.87 vs 1.04.
- The market prices Omiya Ardija below the model: +2.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Omiya Ardija and Vanraure Hachinohe expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.91
Omiya Ardija and Vanraure Hachinohe attack and defence ratings
Omiya Ardija
Vanraure Hachinohe
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Omiya Ardija vs Vanraure Hachinohe: result vs prediction
Omiya Ardija 2 – 0 Vanraure Hachinohe
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 2nd Round fixtures
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Okinawa SV — match page
- Nagoya Grampus vs Gainare Tottori — team news & stats
- Cerezo Osaka vs FC Gifu
- Tokushima Vortis v FC Tokushima — match page
- Machida Zelvia vs Grulla Morioka — team news & stats
- Tokyo Verdy vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
- Yokohama FC v Criacao Shinjuku — match page
- Consadole Sapporo vs Ventforet Kofu — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Omiya Ardija vs Vanraure Hachinohe markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Omiya Ardija | 53.0% | 1.89 | +2.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.7% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Omiya Ardija | 53.0% |
| Draw | 25.7% | |
| Vanraure Hachinohe | 21.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.7% |
| No | 44.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Omiya Ardija win | 32.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 44.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.9% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.4% |
Omiya Ardija vs Vanraure Hachinohe stats
Omiya Ardija and Vanraure Hachinohe recent form
| L | |
| no matches on record |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.
Omiya Ardija vs Vanraure Hachinohe head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-28 | Omiya Ardija | Vanraure Hachinohe | Friendlies Clubs | 3-3 |
| 2024-09-21 | Vanraure Hachinohe | Omiya Ardija | J3 League | 2-3 |
| 2024-02-24 | Omiya Ardija | Vanraure Hachinohe | J3 League | 4-1 |
| 2014-07-12 | Omiya Ardija | Vanraure Hachinohe | Emperor Cup | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Omiya Ardija vs Vanraure Hachinohe odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 52.5%, draw 25.9%, away 21.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.75 | 3.50 | 4.33 |
| 1xBet | 1.74 | 3.80 | 4.24 |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 3.70 | 4.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 3.50 | 4.50 |
| Betano | 1.72 | 3.45 | 4.15 |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 3.50 | 4.20 |
| Dafabet | 1.78 | 3.80 | 4.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.72 | 3.80 | 4.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.76 | 3.75 | 3.78 |
| SBO | 1.67 | 3.26 | 4.11 |
| Superbet | 1.74 | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| Unibet | 1.75 | 3.30 | 4.10 |
| William Hill | 1.73 | 3.40 | 3.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .