Emperor Cup · Full time ·2nd Round

Omiya Ardija vs Vanraure Hachinohe

2 – 0 Full time

NACK5 Stadium Omiya, Saitama

Omiya Ardija 53%
Draw 26%
Vanraure Hachinohe 21%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Omiya Ardija vs Vanraure Hachinohe overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Omiya Ardija vs Vanraure Hachinohe

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityOmiya ArdijaDrawVanraure Hachinohe
Model54.6%25.0%20.5%
Market52.5%25.9%21.6%
Final53.0%25.7%21.3%
Edge+2.1%-1.0%-1.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Omiya Ardija

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.87 vs 1.04.
  • The market prices Omiya Ardija below the model: +2.1 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Omiya Ardija ↓ / Vanraure Hachi → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 9% 12% 2 9% 10% 3 6% 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 56%
No goals 6%

Omiya Ardija and Vanraure Hachinohe expected goals

Omiya Ardija 1.87
Vanraure Hachinohe 1.04

Total expected goals: 2.91

Omiya Ardija and Vanraure Hachinohe attack and defence ratings

Omiya Ardija

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Vanraure Hachinohe

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Omiya Ardija vs Vanraure Hachinohe: result vs prediction

Omiya Ardija 2 – 0 Vanraure Hachinohe

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other 2nd Round fixtures

Emperor Cup

Before and after this match

Omiya Ardija vs Vanraure Hachinohe markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Omiya Ardija 53.0% 1.89 +2.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55.0% 1.82 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.7% 1.79 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.7% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 44.3% 2.26 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Omiya Ardija53.0%
Draw25.7%
Vanraure Hachinohe21.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555.0%
Under 2.545.0%
Both teams to scoreYes55.7%
No44.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.7%
12 (either side)74.3%
X2 (draw or away)47.0%
Handicap -1Omiya Ardija win32.9%
Push (exactly one goal)22.8%
Loss44.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.9%
2-19.9%
2-09.4%

Omiya Ardija vs Vanraure Hachinohe stats

Omiya Ardija and Vanraure Hachinohe recent form

newest first
Omiya Ardija L
Vanraure Hachinohe no matches on record

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.

Omiya Ardija vs Vanraure Hachinohe head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

3Omiya Ardija wins 1Draws 0Vanraure Hachinohe wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-01-28Omiya ArdijaVanraure HachinoheFriendlies Clubs3-3
2024-09-21Vanraure HachinoheOmiya ArdijaJ3 League2-3
2024-02-24Omiya ArdijaVanraure HachinoheJ3 League4-1
2014-07-12Omiya ArdijaVanraure HachinoheEmperor Cup3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Omiya Ardija vs Vanraure Hachinohe odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 52.5%, draw 25.9%, away 21.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.75 3.50 4.33
1xBet 1.74 3.80 4.24
Bet365 1.70 3.70 4.00
BetVictor 1.70 3.50 4.50
Betano 1.72 3.45 4.15
Betfair 1.73 3.50 4.20
Dafabet 1.78 3.80 4.50
Marathonbet 1.72 3.80 4.25
Pinnacle 1.76 3.75 3.78
SBO 1.67 3.26 4.11
Superbet 1.74 3.60 4.20
Unibet 1.75 3.30 4.10
William Hill 1.73 3.40 3.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.73 —
X 3.50 ▲ +0.04
2 4.20 ▼ -0.25

3 snapshots recorded, from .