Emperor Cup
·
Full time
·2nd Round
Kyoto Sanga
vs
Maruyasu Okazaki
1 – 0 Full time
Kyoto Sanga
29%
Draw
24%
Maruyasu Okazaki
48%
Kyoto Sanga vs Maruyasu Okazaki overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kyoto Sanga vs Maruyasu Okazaki
| Probability | Kyoto Sanga | Draw | Maruyasu Okazaki |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.6% | 23.5% | 47.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 28.6% | 23.5% | 47.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Maruyasu Okazaki
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.53.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
87%
3+ goals
67%
No goals
4%
Kyoto Sanga and Maruyasu Okazaki expected goals
Kyoto Sanga
1.53
Maruyasu Okazaki
1.94
Total expected goals: 3.47
Kyoto Sanga and Maruyasu Okazaki attack and defence ratings
Kyoto Sanga
Attack
0.73 -27%
Defence
1.22 +22%
Maruyasu Okazaki
Attack
1.43 +43%
Defence
0.93 -7%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kyoto Sanga vs Maruyasu Okazaki: result vs prediction
Kyoto Sanga 1 – 0 Maruyasu Okazaki
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 2nd Round fixtures
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Okinawa SV — match page
- Nagoya Grampus vs Gainare Tottori — team news & stats
- Cerezo Osaka vs FC Gifu
- Tokushima Vortis v FC Tokushima — match page
- Machida Zelvia vs Grulla Morioka — team news & stats
- Tokyo Verdy vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
- Yokohama FC v Criacao Shinjuku — match page
- Consadole Sapporo vs Ventforet Kofu — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Kyoto Sanga vs Maruyasu Okazaki markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Maruyasu Okazaki | 47.9% | 2.09 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.8% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kyoto Sanga | 28.6% |
| Draw | 23.5% | |
| Maruyasu Okazaki | 47.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.1% |
| No | 31.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 52.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Maruyasu Okazaki win | 26.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.8% | |
| Loss | 53.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.0% |
| 1-2 | 9.0% | |
| 2-1 | 6.9% |
Kyoto Sanga vs Maruyasu Okazaki stats
Kyoto Sanga and Maruyasu Okazaki recent form
| Kyoto Sanga |
LDLWLW |
| Maruyasu Okazaki |
W |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.