Achilles Veen
vs
Poortugaal
4 – 2 Full time
| 15′ | J. Scheij | ||
| 21′ | Poortugaal | ||
| 26′ | J. Scheij | ||
| 28′ | Poortugaal | ||
| 39′ | J. Scheij | ||
| 78′ | Poortugaal | ||
| 84′ | K. Vermeulen |
Achilles Veen vs Poortugaal overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Achilles Veen vs Poortugaal
| Probability | Achilles Veen | Draw | Poortugaal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.9% | 21.7% | 35.4% |
| Market | 50.6% | 23.4% | 26.0% |
| Final | 48.7% | 23.0% | 28.4% |
| Edge | -7.8% | -1.6% | +9.4% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Achilles Veen and Poortugaal expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.10
Achilles Veen and Poortugaal attack and defence ratings
Achilles Veen
Poortugaal
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Achilles Veen vs Poortugaal: result vs prediction
Achilles Veen 4 – 2 Poortugaal
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 1st Preliminary Round fixtures
Before and after this match
Achilles Veen vs Poortugaal markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Achilles Veen | 48.7% | 2.05 | -7.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Achilles Veen | 48.7% |
| Draw | 23.0% | |
| Poortugaal | 28.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 22.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.5% |
| No | 23.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Achilles Veen win | 25.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.8% | |
| Loss | 57.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 7.6% |
| 2-1 | 7.5% | |
| 2-2 | 7.3% |
Achilles Veen vs Poortugaal stats
Achilles Veen and Poortugaal recent form
| Achilles Veen |
no matches on record |
| Poortugaal |
L |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.
Achilles Veen vs Poortugaal head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Achilles Veen vs Poortugaal odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.6%, draw 23.4%, away 26.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.80 | 3.70 | 3.45 |
| 1xBet | 1.82 | 3.88 | 3.76 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 4.33 | 3.60 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.90 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 1.78 | 4.00 | 3.55 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.90 | 3.40 |
| Dafabet | 1.81 | 4.40 | 3.70 |
| Marathonbet | 1.81 | 3.85 | 3.74 |
| Pinnacle | 1.81 | 3.62 | 3.35 |
| Superbet | 1.78 | 4.10 | 3.50 |
| Unibet | 1.74 | 3.90 | 3.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .