KNVB Beker
·
Full time
·1st Preliminary Round
HZVV
vs
Frisia
0 – 4 Full time
HZVV
34%
Draw
20%
Frisia
45%
HZVV vs Frisia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: HZVV vs Frisia
| Probability | HZVV | Draw | Frisia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.4% | 20.3% | 45.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 34.4% | 20.3% | 45.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
98%
2+ goals
94%
3+ goals
83%
No goals
2%
HZVV and Frisia expected goals
HZVV
2.11
Frisia
2.40
Total expected goals: 4.51
HZVV and Frisia attack and defence ratings
HZVV
Attack
1.07 +7%
Defence
1.24 +24%
Frisia
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
HZVV vs Frisia: result vs prediction
HZVV 0 – 4 Frisia
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 1st Preliminary Round fixtures
- TEC vs Almkerk — team news & stats
- Harkemase Boys vs Excelsior '31
- SC Genemuiden v FC Lisse — match page
- Achilles Veen vs Poortugaal — team news & stats
- ADO '20 vs Excelsior Maassluis
- Sportlust '46 v Blauw Geel — match page
- Be Quick 1887 vs AFC Amsterdam — team news & stats
- AFC '34 vs VV Scherpenzeel
Before and after this match
HZVV vs Frisia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Frisia | 45.3% | 2.21 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82.8% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 79.7% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | HZVV | 34.4% |
| Draw | 20.3% | |
| Frisia | 45.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 17.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 80.4% |
| No | 19.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 54.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Frisia win | 27.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.5% | |
| Loss | 54.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-2 | 7.0% |
| 1-2 | 6.7% | |
| 1-1 | 6.1% |