KNVB Beker · 2026-09-01T18:00:00Z UTC Full time ·1st Preliminary Round

TEC vs Almkerk

4 – 2 Full time

16′			Almkerk
32′			J. Berrio
48′			J. Berrio
60′			D. Knuiman
74′			Almkerk
90′			K. Meeuwsen

TEC

38%

Draw

24%

Almkerk

38%

Confidence: Low · model-only, no market odds

TEC vs Almkerk overview

Garuda Lions analysis: TEC vs Almkerk

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	TEC	Draw	Almkerk
Model	38.4%	23.6%	38.0%
Market	—	—	—
Final	38.4%	23.6%	38.0%
Edge	—	—	—

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

96%

2+ goals

89%

3+ goals

70%

No goals

TEC and Almkerk expected goals

TEC

1.82

Almkerk

1.81

Total expected goals: 3.63

TEC and Almkerk attack and defence ratings

TEC

Attack

0.92 -8%

Defence

0.93 -7%

Almkerk

Attack

1.00 +0%

Defence

1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

TEC vs Almkerk: result vs prediction

TEC 4 – 2 Almkerk

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

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Before and after this match

TEC, next: JOS Watergraafsmeer vs TEC prediction

TEC vs Almkerk markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	TEC	38.4%	2.60	—	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	70.2%	1.43	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	70.9%	1.41	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	76.4%	1.31	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	61.6%	1.62	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	TEC	38.4%
	Draw	23.6%
	Almkerk	38.0%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	70.2%
	Under 2.5	29.8%
Both teams to score	Yes	70.9%
	No	29.1%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	62.0%
	12 (either side)	76.4%
	X2 (draw or away)	61.6%
Handicap -1	TEC win	20.7%
	Push (exactly one goal)	17.7%
	Loss	61.6%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	9.6%
	2-1	8.0%
	1-2	7.9%

TEC vs Almkerk stats

TEC and Almkerk recent form

newest first

TEC	LW
Almkerk	no matches on record

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.

TEC vs Almkerk head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

TEC vs Almkerk odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.