KNVB Beker · 2026-09-23T18:00:00Z UTC Full time ·2nd Preliminary Round

JOS Watergraafsmeer vs TEC

4 – 4 Full time

27′			K. Meeuwsen
32′			JOS Watergraafsmeer
37′			J. de Beer
75′			JOS Watergraafsmeer
99′			JOS Watergraafsmeer
111′			J. van Piggelen
116′			J. Berrio
120′			JOS Watergraafsmeer
120′			TEC
120′			TEC
120′			JOS Watergraafsmeer
120′			JOS Watergraafsmeer
120′			TEC
120′			JOS Watergraafsmeer
120′			JOS Watergraafsmeer

JOS Watergraafsmeer

40%

Draw

21%

TEC

39%

Confidence: Low · model-only, no market odds

JOS Watergraafsmeer vs TEC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: JOS Watergraafsmeer vs TEC

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	JOS Watergraafsmeer	Draw	TEC
Model	40.2%	21.2%	38.6%
Market	—	—	—
Final	40.2%	21.2%	38.6%
Edge	—	—	—

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

98%

2+ goals

93%

3+ goals

80%

No goals

JOS Watergraafsmeer and TEC expected goals

JOS Watergraafsmeer

2.17

TEC

2.13

Total expected goals: 4.30

JOS Watergraafsmeer and TEC attack and defence ratings

JOS Watergraafsmeer

Attack

1.17 +17%

Defence

1.00 +0%

TEC

Attack

1.08 +8%

Defence

0.94 -6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

JOS Watergraafsmeer vs TEC: result vs prediction

JOS Watergraafsmeer 4 – 4 TEC

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures

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Groene Ster vs AFC Amsterdam — team news & stats · 2026-09-22
RKAV Volendam vs Spakenburg · 2026-09-22
Staphorst v SC Genemuiden — match page · 2026-09-22
Koninklijke HFC vs Dovo — team news & stats · 2026-09-22
Noordwijk vs Frisia · 2026-09-22
GVVV Veenendaal v DVS 33 Ermelo — match page · 2026-09-22
HHC v Barendrecht — match page · 2026-09-22

Before and after this match

JOS Watergraafsmeer, previous: Dongen vs JOS Watergraafsmeer: odds and pick
JOS Watergraafsmeer, next: JOS Watergraafsmeer vs NAC Breda prediction
TEC, previous: TEC v Almkerk analysis

JOS Watergraafsmeer vs TEC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	JOS Watergraafsmeer	40.2%	2.49	—	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	80.2%	1.25	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	78.7%	1.27	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	78.8%	1.27	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	59.8%	1.67	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	JOS Watergraafsmeer	40.2%
	Draw	21.2%
	TEC	38.6%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	80.2%
	Under 2.5	19.8%
Both teams to score	Yes	78.7%
	No	21.3%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	61.4%
	12 (either side)	78.8%
	X2 (draw or away)	59.8%
Handicap -1	JOS Watergraafsmeer win	23.3%
	Push (exactly one goal)	16.9%
	Loss	59.8%
Correct score (top 3)	2-2	7.2%
	1-1	6.9%
	2-1	6.8%

JOS Watergraafsmeer vs TEC stats

JOS Watergraafsmeer and TEC recent form

newest first

JOS Watergraafsmeer	W
TEC	WLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.

JOS Watergraafsmeer vs TEC head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

JOS Watergraafsmeer vs TEC odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.