RKAV Volendam
vs
Spakenburg
2 – 2 Full time
| 29′ | R. Tol | ||
| 51′ | M. van der Weijden | ||
| 80′ | D. Zwarthoed | ||
| 90′ | M. van der Weijden | ||
| 120′ | RKAV Volendam | ||
| 120′ | M. van der Weijden | ||
| 120′ | RKAV Volendam | ||
| 120′ | D. Kunst | ||
| 120′ | RKAV Volendam | ||
| 120′ | S. Damkalis | ||
| 120′ | RKAV Volendam |
RKAV Volendam vs Spakenburg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: RKAV Volendam vs Spakenburg
| Probability | RKAV Volendam | Draw | Spakenburg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.0% | 15.6% | 59.4% |
| Market | 26.7% | 24.3% | 49.0% |
| Final | 26.2% | 22.1% | 51.6% |
| Edge | -1.7% | -8.7% | +10.4% |
Why Spakenburg
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.56 vs 2.45.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 3 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Spakenburg below the model: +10.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
RKAV Volendam and Spakenburg expected goals
Total expected goals: 6.01
RKAV Volendam and Spakenburg attack and defence ratings
RKAV Volendam
Spakenburg
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
RKAV Volendam vs Spakenburg: result vs prediction
RKAV Volendam 2 – 2 Spakenburg
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures
Before and after this match
RKAV Volendam vs Spakenburg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Spakenburg | 51.6% | 1.94 | +10.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 93.8% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 89.0% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Spakenburg win | 43.0% | 2.33 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | RKAV Volendam | 26.2% |
| Draw | 22.1% | |
| Spakenburg | 51.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 93.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 6.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 89.0% |
| No | 11.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 48.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Spakenburg win | 43.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.4% | |
| Loss | 40.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-3 | 5.5% |
| 2-4 | 4.9% | |
| 2-2 | 4.7% |
RKAV Volendam vs Spakenburg stats
RKAV Volendam and Spakenburg recent form
| RKAV Volendam |
L |
| Spakenburg |
LWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.
RKAV Volendam vs Spakenburg head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | RKAV Volendam | Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie | 2-1 |
| 2026-01-31 | Spakenburg | RKAV Volendam | Tweede Divisie | 3-4 |
| 2025-09-06 | RKAV Volendam | Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie | 1-3 |
| 2025-01-11 | RKAV Volendam | Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie | 1-2 |
| 2024-08-17 | Spakenburg | RKAV Volendam | Tweede Divisie | 4-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
RKAV Volendam vs Spakenburg odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 26.7%, draw 24.3%, away 49.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.48 | 3.68 | 1.83 |
| Bet365 | 3.40 | 4.00 | 1.91 |
| BetVictor | 3.40 | 3.75 | 1.87 |
| Betano | 3.25 | 3.75 | 1.87 |
| Betfair | 3.30 | 3.80 | 1.85 |
| Marathonbet | 3.40 | 3.68 | 1.81 |
| Pinnacle | 3.26 | 3.70 | 1.82 |
| William Hill | 3.60 | 3.60 | 1.85 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .