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KNVB Beker · Full time ·2nd Preliminary Round

Koninklijke HFC vs Dovo

3 – 1 Full time

74′M. Fichtinger
86′Dovo
113′L. Klaasen
118′N. Donker

Complex Koninklijke HFC, Haarlem

Koninklijke HFC 54%
Draw 24%
Dovo 23%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Koninklijke HFC vs Dovo overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Koninklijke HFC vs Dovo

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKoninklijke HFCDrawDovo
Model48.3%22.6%29.1%
Market55.6%23.9%20.5%
Final53.8%23.6%22.7%
Edge-7.2%-1.3%+8.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Koninklijke HFC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.11 vs 1.62.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Koninklijke HF ↓ / Dovo → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 9% 7% 2 5% 9% 7% 3 6% 5% 4+ 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 72%
No goals 3%

Koninklijke HFC and Dovo expected goals

Koninklijke HFC 2.11
Dovo 1.62

Total expected goals: 3.73

Koninklijke HFC and Dovo attack and defence ratings

Koninklijke HFC

Attack 1.19 +19%
Defence 0.81 -19%

Dovo

Attack 0.99 -1%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Koninklijke HFC vs Dovo: result vs prediction

Koninklijke HFC 3 – 1 Dovo

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures

KNVB Beker

Before and after this match

Koninklijke HFC vs Dovo markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Koninklijke HFC 53.8% 1.86 -7.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 71.9% 1.39 — —
Both teams to score Yes 71.3% 1.40 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 77.3% 1.29 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 51.7% 1.93 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Koninklijke HFC53.8%
Draw23.6%
Dovo22.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.571.9%
Under 2.528.1%
Both teams to scoreYes71.3%
No28.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)77.3%
12 (either side)76.4%
X2 (draw or away)46.2%
Handicap -1Koninklijke HFC win28.8%
Push (exactly one goal)19.5%
Loss51.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.0%
2-18.7%
2-27.0%

Koninklijke HFC vs Dovo stats

Koninklijke HFC and Dovo recent form

newest first
Koninklijke HFC WLW
Dovo WLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.

Koninklijke HFC vs Dovo head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Koninklijke HFC vs Dovo odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 55.6%, draw 23.9%, away 20.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.59 3.74 4.80
Bet365 1.73 3.75 4.50
BetVictor 1.65 3.90 4.40
Betano 1.65 3.80 4.20
Betfair 1.60 4.00 4.40
Marathonbet 1.57 3.74 4.70
Pinnacle 1.60 3.69 4.32
William Hill 1.65 4.00 4.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.62 ▲ +0.01
X 3.77 ▲ +0.02
2 4.40 —

2 snapshots recorded, from .