Garuda Lions
Today
KNVB Beker · Full time ·1st Preliminary Round

LONGA '30 vs Koninklijke HFC

0 – 4 Full time

3′D. Ladan
25′L. Klaasen
40′T. Ras
56′Koninklijke HFC
LONGA '30 35%
Draw 22%
Koninklijke HFC 43%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

LONGA '30 vs Koninklijke HFC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: LONGA '30 vs Koninklijke HFC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLONGA '30DrawKoninklijke HFC
Model35.0%22.3%42.7%
Market———
Final35.0%22.3%42.7%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

LONGA '30 ↓ / Koninklijke HF → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 4% 1 8% 8% 5% 4% 2 7% 7% 5% 3 4% 5% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 91%
3+ goals 75%
No goals 3%

LONGA '30 and Koninklijke HFC expected goals

LONGA '30 1.86
Koninklijke HFC 2.06

Total expected goals: 3.92

LONGA '30 and Koninklijke HFC attack and defence ratings

LONGA '30

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Koninklijke HFC

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

LONGA '30 vs Koninklijke HFC: result vs prediction

LONGA '30 0 – 4 Koninklijke HFC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other 1st Preliminary Round fixtures

KNVB Beker

Before and after this match

LONGA '30 vs Koninklijke HFC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Koninklijke HFC 42.7% 2.34 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 75.1% 1.33 — —
Both teams to score Yes 74.5% 1.34 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 77.7% 1.29 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.3% 1.74 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2LONGA '3035.0%
Draw22.3%
Koninklijke HFC42.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.575.1%
Under 2.524.9%
Both teams to scoreYes74.5%
No25.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)57.3%
12 (either side)77.7%
X2 (draw or away)65.0%
Handicap -1Koninklijke HFC win24.6%
Push (exactly one goal)18.1%
Loss57.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-18.3%
1-27.8%
2-27.3%

LONGA '30 vs Koninklijke HFC stats

LONGA '30 and Koninklijke HFC recent form

newest first
LONGA '30 no matches on record
Koninklijke HFC LW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.

LONGA '30 vs Koninklijke HFC head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

LONGA '30 vs Koninklijke HFC odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.