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KNVB Beker · Full time ·1st Preliminary Round

SC Genemuiden vs FC Lisse

2 – 1 Full time

54′M. van Rooijen
54′S. Egbers
80′J. Alkemade
SC Genemuiden 39%
Draw 26%
FC Lisse 35%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

SC Genemuiden vs FC Lisse overview

Garuda Lions analysis: SC Genemuiden vs FC Lisse

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySC GenemuidenDrawFC Lisse
Model39.0%27.5%33.5%
Market39.6%25.1%35.3%
Final39.5%25.7%34.8%
Edge-0.6%+2.4%-1.8%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

SC Genemuiden ↓ / FC Lisse → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 7% 1 8% 13% 8% 2 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 54%
No goals 7%

SC Genemuiden and FC Lisse expected goals

SC Genemuiden 1.47
FC Lisse 1.35

Total expected goals: 2.82

SC Genemuiden and FC Lisse attack and defence ratings

SC Genemuiden

Attack 0.72 -28%
Defence 0.74 -26%

FC Lisse

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

SC Genemuiden vs FC Lisse: result vs prediction

SC Genemuiden 2 – 1 FC Lisse

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other 1st Preliminary Round fixtures

KNVB Beker

Before and after this match

SC Genemuiden vs FC Lisse markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 SC Genemuiden 39.5% 2.53 -0.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 53.6% 1.87 — —
Both teams to score Yes 58.3% 1.72 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.3% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.0% 1.64 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2SC Genemuiden39.5%
Draw25.7%
FC Lisse34.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.553.6%
Under 2.546.4%
Both teams to scoreYes58.3%
No41.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.2%
12 (either side)74.3%
X2 (draw or away)60.5%
Handicap -1SC Genemuiden win19.3%
Push (exactly one goal)19.7%
Loss61.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.0%
2-18.7%
1-28.0%

SC Genemuiden vs FC Lisse stats

SC Genemuiden and FC Lisse recent form

newest first
SC Genemuiden LWDW
FC Lisse LWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.

SC Genemuiden vs FC Lisse head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

SC Genemuiden vs FC Lisse odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.6%, draw 25.1%, away 35.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.30 3.50 2.50
1xBet 2.22 3.65 2.86
Bet365 2.45 3.80 2.55
BetVictor 2.20 3.50 2.80
Betano 2.37 3.60 2.57
Betfair 2.30 3.60 2.60
Dafabet 2.43 3.85 2.65
Marathonbet 2.20 3.65 2.85
Pinnacle 2.11 3.61 2.84
Superbet 2.35 3.65 2.55
Unibet 2.20 3.65 2.55
William Hill 2.40 3.50 2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.30 ▼ -0.10
X 3.63 ▼ -0.02
2 2.58 ▲ +0.08

2 snapshots recorded, from .