Staphorst
vs
SC Genemuiden
2 – 3 Full time
| 26′ | A. van de Wetering | ||
| 32′ | A. van de Wetering | ||
| 45′ | S. Crowther | ||
| 50′ | S. Egbers | ||
| 89′ | D. Bouwmeester |
Staphorst vs SC Genemuiden overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Staphorst vs SC Genemuiden
| Probability | Staphorst | Draw | SC Genemuiden |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.7% | 27.6% | 43.7% |
| Market | 26.2% | 24.6% | 49.2% |
| Final | 26.8% | 25.3% | 47.8% |
| Edge | +2.4% | +3.0% | -5.4% |
Why SC Genemuiden
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.53 vs 1.20.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 5 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Staphorst and SC Genemuiden expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.74
Staphorst and SC Genemuiden attack and defence ratings
Staphorst
SC Genemuiden
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Staphorst vs SC Genemuiden: result vs prediction
Staphorst 2 – 3 SC Genemuiden
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures
Before and after this match
Staphorst vs SC Genemuiden markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SC Genemuiden | 47.8% | 2.09 | -5.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Staphorst | 26.8% |
| Draw | 25.3% | |
| SC Genemuiden | 47.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.1% |
| No | 43.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 52.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | SC Genemuiden win | 22.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 56.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.2% |
| 1-2 | 9.2% | |
| 0-1 | 8.7% |
Staphorst vs SC Genemuiden stats
Staphorst and SC Genemuiden recent form
| Staphorst |
DL |
| SC Genemuiden |
WLWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.
Staphorst vs SC Genemuiden head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Staphorst | SC Genemuiden | Derde Divisie | 1-2 |
| 2026-04-18 | Staphorst | SC Genemuiden | Derde Divisie | 0-4 |
| 2025-11-15 | SC Genemuiden | Staphorst | Derde Divisie | 1-4 |
| 2024-04-13 | Staphorst | SC Genemuiden | Derde Divisie | 0-0 |
| 2023-11-11 | SC Genemuiden | Staphorst | Derde Divisie | 5-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Staphorst vs SC Genemuiden odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 26.2%, draw 24.6%, away 49.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.60 | 3.72 | 1.79 |
| Bet365 | 3.60 | 3.75 | 1.91 |
| BetVictor | 3.40 | 3.70 | 1.87 |
| Betano | 3.45 | 3.65 | 1.83 |
| Betfair | 3.40 | 3.60 | 1.87 |
| Marathonbet | 3.52 | 3.72 | 1.77 |
| Pinnacle | 3.05 | 3.84 | 1.86 |
| William Hill | 3.50 | 3.60 | 1.85 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .