KNVB Beker
·
Full time
·2nd Preliminary Round
EVV
vs
Halsteren
3 – 1 Full time
| 16′ | EVV | ||
| 31′ | EVV | ||
| 39′ | Halsteren | ||
| 47′ | EVV |
EVV
47%
Draw
23%
Halsteren
30%
EVV vs Halsteren overview
Garuda Lions analysis: EVV vs Halsteren
| Probability | EVV | Draw | Halsteren |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.7% | 23.2% | 37.1% |
| Market | 48.9% | 23.3% | 27.8% |
| Final | 46.6% | 23.3% | 30.1% |
| Edge | -9.2% | -0.1% | +9.3% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
89%
3+ goals
72%
No goals
3%
EVV and Halsteren expected goals
EVV
1.89
Halsteren
1.82
Total expected goals: 3.71
EVV and Halsteren attack and defence ratings
EVV
Attack
1.09 +9%
Defence
0.92 -8%
Halsteren
Attack
0.99 -1%
Defence
0.90 -10%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
EVV vs Halsteren: result vs prediction
EVV 3 – 1 Halsteren
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures
Before and after this match
EVV vs Halsteren markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | EVV | 46.6% | 2.15 | -9.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.7% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | EVV | 46.6% |
| Draw | 23.3% | |
| Halsteren | 30.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.0% |
| No | 28.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | EVV win | 21.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.8% | |
| Loss | 60.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.3% |
| 2-1 | 7.9% | |
| 1-2 | 7.7% |
EVV vs Halsteren stats
EVV vs Halsteren head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
EVV vs Halsteren odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.9%, draw 23.3%, away 27.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.80 | 3.88 | 3.41 |
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| BetVictor | 1.87 | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| Betano | 1.88 | 3.80 | 3.15 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 4.00 | 3.10 |
| Marathonbet | 1.78 | 3.88 | 3.34 |
| Pinnacle | 1.85 | 3.97 | 2.98 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.80 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.85 ▼ -0.01
X
3.88 ▼ -0.04
2
3.25 ▲ +0.13
2 snapshots recorded, from .