Hercules
vs
EVV
1 – 3 Full time
| 5′ | Hercules | ||
| 63′ | EVV | ||
| 77′ | EVV | ||
| 90′ | EVV |
Hercules vs EVV overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Hercules vs EVV
| Probability | Hercules | Draw | EVV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.0% | 22.3% | 34.7% |
| Market | 42.1% | 23.6% | 34.2% |
| Final | 42.3% | 23.3% | 34.4% |
| Edge | +0.9% | -1.3% | +0.4% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Hercules and EVV expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.93
Hercules and EVV attack and defence ratings
Hercules
EVV
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Hercules vs EVV: result vs prediction
Hercules 1 – 3 EVV
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
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Before and after this match
Hercules vs EVV markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hercules | 42.3% | 2.36 | +0.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.0% | 1.76 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hercules | 42.3% |
| Draw | 23.3% | |
| EVV | 34.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 24.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.6% |
| No | 25.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Hercules win | 24.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.1% | |
| Loss | 57.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.3% |
| 2-1 | 7.8% | |
| 2-2 | 7.3% |
Hercules vs EVV stats
Hercules vs EVV head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-04-10 | EVV | Hercules | Derde Divisie - Sunday | 2-3 |
| 2021-10-17 | Hercules | EVV | Derde Divisie - Sunday | 3-0 |
| 2020-09-13 | EVV | Hercules | Derde Divisie - Sunday | 0-5 |
| 2019-10-06 | Hercules | EVV | Derde Divisie - Sunday | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Hercules vs EVV odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.1%, draw 23.6%, away 34.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.15 | 3.75 | 2.60 |
| 1xBet | 2.15 | 3.95 | 2.81 |
| Bet365 | 2.40 | 3.75 | 2.62 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.90 | 2.70 |
| Betano | 2.32 | 3.70 | 2.60 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 4.00 | 2.63 |
| Dafabet | 2.40 | 3.85 | 2.65 |
| Marathonbet | 2.12 | 3.95 | 2.82 |
| Pinnacle | 2.01 | 4.02 | 2.79 |
| Superbet | 2.20 | 3.65 | 2.77 |
| Unibet | 2.20 | 4.00 | 2.43 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.60 | 2.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .