Sportlust '46
vs
Blauw Geel
3 – 1 Full time
| 3′ | B. van de Nieuwenhof | ||
| 16′ | Sportlust '46 | ||
| 68′ | N. Zoufri | ||
| 70′ | N. Zoufri |
Sportlust '46 vs Blauw Geel overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sportlust '46 vs Blauw Geel
| Probability | Sportlust '46 | Draw | Blauw Geel |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.3% | 31.4% | 26.2% |
| Market | 45.4% | 25.2% | 29.4% |
| Final | 44.7% | 26.7% | 28.6% |
| Edge | -3.1% | +6.2% | -3.1% |
Why Sportlust '46
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.25 vs 0.93.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 4 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sportlust '46 and Blauw Geel expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.18
Sportlust '46 and Blauw Geel attack and defence ratings
Sportlust '46
Blauw Geel
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sportlust '46 vs Blauw Geel: result vs prediction
Sportlust '46 3 – 1 Blauw Geel
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 1st Preliminary Round fixtures
Before and after this match
Sportlust '46 vs Blauw Geel markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sportlust '46 | 44.7% | 2.24 | -3.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sportlust '46 | 44.7% |
| Draw | 26.7% | |
| Blauw Geel | 28.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.5% |
| No | 55.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sportlust '46 win | 19.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 57.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 1-0 | 12.8% | |
| 0-0 | 12.6% |
Sportlust '46 vs Blauw Geel stats
Sportlust '46 and Blauw Geel recent form
| Sportlust '46 |
LDWW |
| Blauw Geel |
LD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.
Sportlust '46 vs Blauw Geel head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-03 | Sportlust '46 | Blauw Geel | Derde Divisie - Sunday | 2-1 |
| 2023-09-09 | Blauw Geel | Sportlust '46 | Derde Divisie - Sunday | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sportlust '46 vs Blauw Geel odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.4%, draw 25.2%, away 29.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.95 | 3.60 | 3.10 |
| 1xBet | 1.95 | 3.80 | 3.34 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.13 |
| Betano | 2.05 | 3.75 | 3.00 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.09 | 4.00 | 3.10 |
| Marathonbet | 2.03 | 3.64 | 3.20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.01 | 3.50 | 3.15 |
| Superbet | 2.05 | 3.75 | 3.00 |
| Unibet | 2.00 | 3.45 | 2.95 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .