Sportlust '46
vs
Excelsior Maassluis
0 – 2 Full time
| 20′ | Excelsior Maassluis | ||
| 55′ | Excelsior Maassluis |
Sportlust '46 vs Excelsior Maassluis overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sportlust '46 vs Excelsior Maassluis
| Probability | Sportlust '46 | Draw | Excelsior Maassluis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.3% | 24.6% | 27.1% |
| Market | 29.0% | 26.2% | 44.8% |
| Final | 33.9% | 25.8% | 40.4% |
| Edge | +19.3% | -1.6% | -17.7% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sportlust '46 and Excelsior Maassluis expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.23
Sportlust '46 and Excelsior Maassluis attack and defence ratings
Sportlust '46
Excelsior Maassluis
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sportlust '46 vs Excelsior Maassluis: result vs prediction
Sportlust '46 0 – 2 Excelsior Maassluis
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures
Before and after this match
Sportlust '46 vs Excelsior Maassluis markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Excelsior Maassluis | 40.4% | 2.48 | -17.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.7% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.9% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sportlust '46 | 33.9% |
| Draw | 25.8% | |
| Excelsior Maassluis | 40.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.9% |
| No | 36.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Excelsior Maassluis win | 12.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 14.9% | |
| Loss | 72.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | |
| 2-0 | 6.9% |
Sportlust '46 vs Excelsior Maassluis stats
Sportlust '46 and Excelsior Maassluis recent form
| Sportlust '46 |
WLDWW |
| Excelsior Maassluis |
DLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.
Sportlust '46 vs Excelsior Maassluis head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-06 | Sportlust '46 | Excelsior Maassluis | Friendlies Clubs | 0-1 |
| 2023-08-08 | Excelsior Maassluis | Sportlust '46 | Friendlies Clubs | 2-0 |
| 2021-08-03 | Sportlust '46 | Excelsior Maassluis | Friendlies Clubs | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sportlust '46 vs Excelsior Maassluis odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 29.0%, draw 26.2%, away 44.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.13 | 3.44 | 2.02 |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 3.90 | 2.10 |
| BetVictor | 3.10 | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| Betano | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.07 |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| Marathonbet | 3.06 | 3.44 | 2.00 |
| Pinnacle | 3.10 | 3.34 | 1.99 |
| William Hill | 3.10 | 3.30 | 2.15 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .