KNVB Beker · Full time ·2nd Preliminary Round

Eemdijk vs Roosendaal

2 – 1 Full time

17′A. Selimi
53′Z. Soree
81′D. Alexandrov

Sportpark De Vinken

Eemdijk 32%
Draw 24%
Roosendaal 44%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Eemdijk vs Roosendaal overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Eemdijk vs Roosendaal

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityEemdijkDrawRoosendaal
Model36.3%26.7%37.0%
Market30.8%23.2%46.0%
Final32.2%24.1%43.8%
Edge+5.5%+3.6%-9.0%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Eemdijk ↓ / Roosendaal → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 7% 1 6% 12% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 81%
3+ goals 57%
No goals 6%

Eemdijk and Roosendaal expected goals

Eemdijk 1.47
Roosendaal 1.49

Total expected goals: 2.96

Eemdijk and Roosendaal attack and defence ratings

Eemdijk

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 0.73 -27%

Roosendaal

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 0.69 -31%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Eemdijk vs Roosendaal: result vs prediction

Eemdijk 2 – 1 Roosendaal

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures

KNVB Beker

Before and after this match

Eemdijk vs Roosendaal markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Roosendaal 43.8% 2.29 -9.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 56.8% 1.76 — —
Both teams to score Yes 60.8% 1.64 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.9% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 63.0% 1.59 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Eemdijk32.2%
Draw24.1%
Roosendaal43.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.556.8%
Under 2.543.2%
Both teams to scoreYes60.8%
No39.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)56.2%
12 (either side)75.9%
X2 (draw or away)67.8%
Handicap -1Roosendaal win18.2%
Push (exactly one goal)18.7%
Loss63.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.5%
1-28.4%
2-18.4%

Eemdijk vs Roosendaal stats

Eemdijk and Roosendaal recent form

newest first
Eemdijk WLWW
Roosendaal WLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.

Eemdijk vs Roosendaal head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Eemdijk vs Roosendaal odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 30.8%, draw 23.2%, away 46.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.06 3.94 1.90
Bet365 2.90 4.00 2.10
BetVictor 3.00 3.90 2.00
Betano 2.80 3.80 2.05
Betfair 2.90 3.90 1.95
Marathonbet 3.00 3.94 1.88
Pinnacle 2.69 4.14 1.95
William Hill 3.00 3.90 2.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.95 ▲ +0.06
X 3.92 ▲ +0.06
2 1.98 ▼ -0.07

2 snapshots recorded, from .