Eemdijk
vs
Roosendaal
2 – 1 Full time
| 17′ | A. Selimi | ||
| 53′ | Z. Soree | ||
| 81′ | D. Alexandrov |
Eemdijk vs Roosendaal overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Eemdijk vs Roosendaal
| Probability | Eemdijk | Draw | Roosendaal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.3% | 26.7% | 37.0% |
| Market | 30.8% | 23.2% | 46.0% |
| Final | 32.2% | 24.1% | 43.8% |
| Edge | +5.5% | +3.6% | -9.0% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Eemdijk and Roosendaal expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.96
Eemdijk and Roosendaal attack and defence ratings
Eemdijk
Roosendaal
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Eemdijk vs Roosendaal: result vs prediction
Eemdijk 2 – 1 Roosendaal
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures
Before and after this match
Eemdijk vs Roosendaal markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Roosendaal | 43.8% | 2.29 | -9.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.8% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Eemdijk | 32.2% |
| Draw | 24.1% | |
| Roosendaal | 43.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.8% |
| No | 39.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 56.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Roosendaal win | 18.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.7% | |
| Loss | 63.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.5% |
| 1-2 | 8.4% | |
| 2-1 | 8.4% |
Eemdijk vs Roosendaal stats
Eemdijk and Roosendaal recent form
| WLWW | |
| WLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.
Eemdijk vs Roosendaal head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Eemdijk vs Roosendaal odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 30.8%, draw 23.2%, away 46.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.06 | 3.94 | 1.90 |
| Bet365 | 2.90 | 4.00 | 2.10 |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.90 | 2.00 |
| Betano | 2.80 | 3.80 | 2.05 |
| Betfair | 2.90 | 3.90 | 1.95 |
| Marathonbet | 3.00 | 3.94 | 1.88 |
| Pinnacle | 2.69 | 4.14 | 1.95 |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 3.90 | 2.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .