KNVB Beker
·
Full time
·1st Preliminary Round
Elinkwijk
vs
Eemdijk
0 – 3 Full time
| 36′ | C. Ibrahim | ||
| 55′ | L. Ruizendaal | ||
| 88′ | S. van Gulik |
Elinkwijk
30%
Draw
23%
Eemdijk
47%
Elinkwijk vs Eemdijk overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Elinkwijk vs Eemdijk
| Probability | Elinkwijk | Draw | Eemdijk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.4% | 22.9% | 46.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 30.4% | 22.9% | 46.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Eemdijk
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.05 vs 1.64.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
89%
3+ goals
71%
No goals
3%
Elinkwijk and Eemdijk expected goals
Elinkwijk
1.64
Eemdijk
2.05
Total expected goals: 3.68
Elinkwijk and Eemdijk attack and defence ratings
Elinkwijk
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Eemdijk
Attack
1.05 +5%
Defence
0.83 -17%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Elinkwijk vs Eemdijk: result vs prediction
Elinkwijk 0 – 3 Eemdijk
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 1st Preliminary Round fixtures
- TEC vs Almkerk — team news & stats
- Harkemase Boys vs Excelsior '31
- SC Genemuiden v FC Lisse — match page
- Achilles Veen vs Poortugaal — team news & stats
- ADO '20 vs Excelsior Maassluis
- Sportlust '46 v Blauw Geel — match page
- Be Quick 1887 vs AFC Amsterdam — team news & stats
- AFC '34 vs VV Scherpenzeel
Before and after this match
Elinkwijk vs Eemdijk markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Eemdijk | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.2% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Elinkwijk | 30.4% |
| Draw | 22.9% | |
| Eemdijk | 46.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.0% |
| No | 29.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 53.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Eemdijk win | 27.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.3% | |
| Loss | 53.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.3% |
| 1-2 | 8.6% | |
| 2-2 | 7.1% |