KNVB Beker
·
Full time
·1st Preliminary Round
Hollandia
vs
Halsteren
2 – 2 Full time
| 29′ | J. Beerendonk | ||
| 32′ | Hollandia | ||
| 107′ | S. Kuyper | ||
| 120′ | Hollandia | ||
| 120′ | Halsteren | ||
| 120′ | Halsteren | ||
| 120′ | Hollandia | ||
| 120′ | Halsteren | ||
| 120′ | Hollandia | ||
| 120′ | Halsteren | ||
| 120′ | Hollandia | ||
| 120′ | Halsteren |
Hollandia
26%
Draw
21%
Halsteren
53%
Hollandia vs Halsteren overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Hollandia vs Halsteren
| Probability | Hollandia | Draw | Halsteren |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.5% | 21.5% | 53.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 25.5% | 21.5% | 53.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Halsteren
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.28 vs 1.57.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 3 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
90%
3+ goals
74%
No goals
3%
Hollandia and Halsteren expected goals
Hollandia
1.57
Halsteren
2.28
Total expected goals: 3.85
Hollandia and Halsteren attack and defence ratings
Hollandia
Attack
0.92 -8%
Defence
1.17 +17%
Halsteren
Attack
0.99 -1%
Defence
0.88 -12%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Hollandia vs Halsteren: result vs prediction
Hollandia 2 – 2 Halsteren
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 1st Preliminary Round fixtures
- TEC vs Almkerk — team news & stats
- Harkemase Boys vs Excelsior '31
- SC Genemuiden v FC Lisse — match page
- Achilles Veen vs Poortugaal — team news & stats
- ADO '20 vs Excelsior Maassluis
- Sportlust '46 v Blauw Geel — match page
- Be Quick 1887 vs AFC Amsterdam — team news & stats
- AFC '34 vs VV Scherpenzeel
Before and after this match
Hollandia vs Halsteren markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Halsteren | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hollandia | 25.5% |
| Draw | 21.5% | |
| Halsteren | 53.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 26.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.9% |
| No | 28.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 47.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Halsteren win | 33.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.8% | |
| Loss | 47.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 8.7% |
| 1-1 | 8.4% | |
| 2-2 | 6.8% |