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KNVB Beker · Full time ·Round of 64

SC Genemuiden vs Dordrecht

3 – 2 Full time

10′T. de Lange
16′B. Beimers
42′B. Mpanzu
46′B. J. BrouwerG. Bakker
55′R. van Asten
64′B. Mpanzu
65′S. Egbers
73′R. van AstenL. Roman
73′L. RiccioS. Vugts
73′N. FeliciaN. Venema
76′G. Kolk
76′A. van de Wetering
78′J. TuinmanJ. Streutker
79′S. Egbers
84′J. van AkenR. Lenz
84′M. VetkalI. Azaouagh
90′A. Ouarghi

Sportpark De WeteringReferee: S. Janssen

SC Genemuiden 25%
Draw 20%
Dordrecht 54%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 19
9 Shots on target 5
32 Possession % 68
2 Corners 9
13 Fouls 13
3 Offsides 0
3 Saves 6
141 Accurate passes 409

SC Genemuiden vs Dordrecht overview

Garuda Lions analysis: SC Genemuiden vs Dordrecht

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySC GenemuidenDrawDordrecht
Model55.6%23.9%20.6%
Market15.3%19.1%65.6%
Final25.4%20.3%54.3%
Edge+10.1%+1.2%-11.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

SC Genemuiden ↓ / Dordrecht → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 8% 11% 6% 2 9% 10% 6% 3 6% 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 59%
No goals 6%

SC Genemuiden and Dordrecht expected goals

SC Genemuiden 1.95
Dordrecht 1.13

Total expected goals: 3.08

SC Genemuiden and Dordrecht attack and defence ratings

SC Genemuiden

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 0.76 -24%

Dordrecht

Attack 0.73 -27%
Defence 1.18 +18%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

SC Genemuiden vs Dordrecht: result vs prediction

SC Genemuiden 3 – 2 Dordrecht

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 64 fixtures

KNVB Beker

Before and after this match

SC Genemuiden vs Dordrecht markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Dordrecht 54.3% 1.84 -11.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59.5% 1.68 — —
Both teams to score Yes 59.0% 1.69 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 79.7% 1.25 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 79.4% 1.26 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2SC Genemuiden25.4%
Draw20.3%
Dordrecht54.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559.5%
Under 2.540.5%
Both teams to scoreYes59.0%
No41.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)45.7%
12 (either side)79.7%
X2 (draw or away)74.6%
Handicap -1Dordrecht win8.2%
Push (exactly one goal)12.4%
Loss79.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.1%
2-19.9%
2-08.8%

SC Genemuiden vs Dordrecht stats

SC Genemuiden and Dordrecht recent form

newest first
SC Genemuiden WWLWDW
Dordrecht LWLDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

SC Genemuiden vs Dordrecht head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

SC Genemuiden vs Dordrecht odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 15.3%, draw 19.1%, away 65.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 6.37 4.80 1.40
Bet365 5.50 5.75 1.42
BetVictor 6.00 4.60 1.40
Betano 5.30 4.60 1.42
Betfair 6.00 5.00 1.33
Dafabet 6.20 5.40 1.43
Marathonbet 6.30 4.80 1.39
Pinnacle 5.09 4.53 1.35
William Hill 6.00 4.50 1.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 6.00 ▼ -0.45
X 4.80 ▼ -0.58
2 1.40 ▲ +0.06

3 snapshots recorded, from .