KNVB Beker · Full time ·1st Preliminary Round

Staphorst vs UNA

2 – 2 Full time

5′Y. Mejres
34′S. Crowther
103′M. de Koe
120′O. Yelkovan
120′L. Jagt
120′UNA
120′Staphorst
120′Staphorst
120′UNA
120′Staphorst
120′UNA
120′Staphorst
120′UNA
120′Staphorst
120′Staphorst
Staphorst 41%
Draw 25%
UNA 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Staphorst vs UNA overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Staphorst vs UNA

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityStaphorstDrawUNA
Model33.9%24.3%41.8%
Market43.4%24.9%31.7%
Final41.0%24.8%34.2%
Edge-9.4%-0.6%+10.1%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Staphorst ↓ / UNA → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 1 10% 9% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 67%
No goals 4%

Staphorst and UNA expected goals

Staphorst 1.62
UNA 1.81

Total expected goals: 3.44

Staphorst and UNA attack and defence ratings

Staphorst

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 1.00 +0%

UNA

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Staphorst vs UNA: result vs prediction

Staphorst 2 – 2 UNA

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other 1st Preliminary Round fixtures

KNVB Beker

Before and after this match

Staphorst vs UNA markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Staphorst 41.0% 2.44 -9.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 66.8% 1.50 — —
Both teams to score Yes 68.2% 1.47 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.2% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 66.1% 1.51 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Staphorst41.0%
Draw24.8%
UNA34.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.566.8%
Under 2.533.2%
Both teams to scoreYes68.2%
No31.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.8%
12 (either side)75.2%
X2 (draw or away)59.0%
Handicap -1Staphorst win17.1%
Push (exactly one goal)16.8%
Loss66.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.4%
1-28.6%
2-17.7%

Staphorst vs UNA stats

Staphorst and UNA recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.

Staphorst vs UNA head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1Staphorst wins 0Draws 0UNA wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2017-08-23UNAStaphorstKNVB Beker1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Staphorst vs UNA odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.4%, draw 24.9%, away 31.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.00 3.60 2.88
1xBet 2.22 3.68 2.84
Bet365 2.05 3.80 3.20
BetVictor 2.10 3.70 2.88
Betano 2.07 3.65 3.00
Betfair 2.15 3.75 2.70
Dafabet 2.11 3.85 3.15
Marathonbet 2.20 3.68 2.83
Pinnacle 2.14 3.63 2.63
Superbet 2.05 3.65 3.05
Unibet 2.00 3.60 2.90
William Hill 2.25 3.40 2.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.10 ▲ +0.06
X 3.67 ▲ +0.06
2 2.88 ▼ -0.12

3 snapshots recorded, from .