KNVB Beker · Full time ·1st Preliminary Round

Surhusterfean vs Dovo

1 – 2 Full time

Surhusterfean 38%
Draw 23%
Dovo 39%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Surhusterfean vs Dovo overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Surhusterfean vs Dovo

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySurhusterfeanDrawDovo
Model37.8%22.7%39.5%
Market———
Final37.8%22.7%39.5%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Surhusterfean ↓ / Dovo → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 9% 8% 5% 2 8% 7% 5% 3 5% 5% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 74%
No goals 3%

Surhusterfean and Dovo expected goals

Surhusterfean 1.90
Dovo 1.95

Total expected goals: 3.85

Surhusterfean and Dovo attack and defence ratings

Surhusterfean

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Dovo

Attack 0.99 -1%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Surhusterfean vs Dovo: result vs prediction

Surhusterfean 1 – 2 Dovo

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other 1st Preliminary Round fixtures

KNVB Beker

Before and after this match

Surhusterfean vs Dovo markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Dovo 39.5% 2.53 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 73.9% 1.35 — —
Both teams to score Yes 73.7% 1.36 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 77.3% 1.29 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 60.5% 1.65 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Surhusterfean37.8%
Draw22.7%
Dovo39.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.573.9%
Under 2.526.1%
Both teams to scoreYes73.7%
No26.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)60.5%
12 (either side)77.3%
X2 (draw or away)62.2%
Handicap -1Dovo win22.0%
Push (exactly one goal)17.5%
Loss60.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-18.7%
1-27.7%
2-17.5%

Surhusterfean vs Dovo stats

Surhusterfean and Dovo recent form

newest first
Surhusterfean no matches on record
Dovo LWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.

Surhusterfean vs Dovo head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Surhusterfean vs Dovo odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.