KNVB Beker
·
Full time
·1st Preliminary Round
Dongen
vs
JOS Watergraafsmeer
2 – 4 Full time
| 47′ | JOS Watergraafsmeer | ||
| 57′ | JOS Watergraafsmeer | ||
| 63′ | JOS Watergraafsmeer | ||
| 77′ | T. de Leeuw | ||
| 80′ | JOS Watergraafsmeer | ||
| 90′ | N. Haddouchi |
Dongen
26%
Draw
21%
JOS Watergraafsmeer
53%
Dongen vs JOS Watergraafsmeer overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Dongen vs JOS Watergraafsmeer
| Probability | Dongen | Draw | JOS Watergraafsmeer |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.1% | 21.3% | 52.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 26.1% | 21.3% | 52.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why JOS Watergraafsmeer
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.31 vs 1.62.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
91%
3+ goals
75%
No goals
3%
Dongen and JOS Watergraafsmeer expected goals
Dongen
1.62
JOS Watergraafsmeer
2.31
Total expected goals: 3.93
Dongen and JOS Watergraafsmeer attack and defence ratings
Dongen
Attack
0.83 -17%
Defence
1.17 +17%
JOS Watergraafsmeer
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Dongen vs JOS Watergraafsmeer: result vs prediction
Dongen 2 – 4 JOS Watergraafsmeer
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 1st Preliminary Round fixtures
- TEC vs Almkerk — team news & stats
- Harkemase Boys vs Excelsior '31
- SC Genemuiden v FC Lisse — match page
- Achilles Veen vs Poortugaal — team news & stats
- ADO '20 vs Excelsior Maassluis
- Sportlust '46 v Blauw Geel — match page
- Be Quick 1887 vs AFC Amsterdam — team news & stats
- AFC '34 vs VV Scherpenzeel
Before and after this match
Dongen vs JOS Watergraafsmeer markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | JOS Watergraafsmeer | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dongen | 26.1% |
| Draw | 21.3% | |
| JOS Watergraafsmeer | 52.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 24.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.0% |
| No | 27.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 47.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | JOS Watergraafsmeer win | 33.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 47.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 8.5% |
| 1-1 | 8.1% | |
| 2-2 | 6.9% |
Dongen vs JOS Watergraafsmeer stats
Dongen and JOS Watergraafsmeer recent form
| Dongen |
L |
| JOS Watergraafsmeer |
no matches on record |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.
Dongen vs JOS Watergraafsmeer head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
1Dongen wins
1Draws
2JOS Watergraafsmeer wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-12 | JOS Watergraafsmeer | Dongen | Derde Divisie - Sunday | 0-3 |
| 2022-09-25 | Dongen | JOS Watergraafsmeer | Derde Divisie - Sunday | 2-3 |
| 2022-05-08 | JOS Watergraafsmeer | Dongen | Derde Divisie - Sunday | 3-2 |
| 2021-08-22 | Dongen | JOS Watergraafsmeer | Derde Divisie - Sunday | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.