KNVB Beker
·
Full time
·Round of 64
JOS Watergraafsmeer
vs
NAC Breda
1 – 3 Full time
| 17′ | M. Bouchouari | ||
| 19′ | J. de Graaf | ||
| 29′ | G. Misehouy | ||
| 39′ | J. Polm | ||
| 45′ | P. Gladon | ||
| 46′ | M. BouchouariB. Lucassen | ||
| 46′ | M. SwaneveldM. Agyei-Adomako | ||
| 56′ | J. CandelariaL. Greiml | ||
| 57′ | P. GladonP. Reulen | ||
| 57′ | I. NazihJ. Van Hecke | ||
| 60′ | M. Brouwers | ||
| 64′ | T. Buis | ||
| 73′ | M. CampbellT. Haarman | ||
| 73′ | N. FrimpongD. Lamme | ||
| 73′ | P. Reulen | ||
| 73′ | T. BuisK. Raven | ||
| 76′ | J. PolmB. Santen | ||
| 84′ | M. BrouwersE. Ikpia |
JOS Watergraafsmeer
35%
Draw
21%
NAC Breda
44%
Match stats
| 6 | Shots | 20 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 11 |
| 38 | Possession % | 62 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 19 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 8 | Saves | 2 |
| 213 | Accurate passes | 413 |
JOS Watergraafsmeer vs NAC Breda overview
Garuda Lions analysis: JOS Watergraafsmeer vs NAC Breda
| Probability | JOS Watergraafsmeer | Draw | NAC Breda |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.2% | 21.1% | 43.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 35.2% | 21.1% | 43.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why NAC Breda
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
98%
2+ goals
93%
3+ goals
80%
No goals
2%
JOS Watergraafsmeer and NAC Breda expected goals
JOS Watergraafsmeer
2.02
NAC Breda
2.25
Total expected goals: 4.28
JOS Watergraafsmeer and NAC Breda attack and defence ratings
JOS Watergraafsmeer
Attack
1.29 +29%
Defence
1.15 +15%
NAC Breda
Attack
0.95 -5%
Defence
0.81 -19%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
JOS Watergraafsmeer vs NAC Breda: result vs prediction
JOS Watergraafsmeer 1 – 3 NAC Breda
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 64 fixtures
Before and after this match
JOS Watergraafsmeer vs NAC Breda markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | NAC Breda | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 80.0% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | JOS Watergraafsmeer | 35.2% |
| Draw | 21.1% | |
| NAC Breda | 43.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 80.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 20.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 78.3% |
| No | 21.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 56.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | NAC Breda win | 26.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.7% | |
| Loss | 56.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-2 | 7.2% |
| 1-2 | 7.1% | |
| 1-1 | 7.0% |
JOS Watergraafsmeer vs NAC Breda stats
JOS Watergraafsmeer and NAC Breda recent form
| JOS Watergraafsmeer |
DW |
| NAC Breda |
DWWDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.