KNVB Beker
·
Full time
·1st Preliminary Round
ATC 65
vs
DVS 33 Ermelo
1 – 2 Full time
| 35′ | T. Van de Berg | ||
| 40′ | Vastenrink | ||
| 64′ | Middelkamp | ||
| 87′ | DVS 33 Ermelo |
ATC 65
34%
Draw
25%
DVS 33 Ermelo
40%
ATC 65 vs DVS 33 Ermelo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: ATC 65 vs DVS 33 Ermelo
| Probability | ATC 65 | Draw | DVS 33 Ermelo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.3% | 25.4% | 40.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 34.3% | 25.4% | 40.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
84%
3+ goals
62%
No goals
5%
ATC 65 and DVS 33 Ermelo expected goals
ATC 65
1.54
DVS 33 Ermelo
1.68
Total expected goals: 3.21
ATC 65 and DVS 33 Ermelo attack and defence ratings
ATC 65
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
DVS 33 Ermelo
Attack
0.85 -15%
Defence
0.79 -21%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
ATC 65 vs DVS 33 Ermelo: result vs prediction
ATC 65 1 – 2 DVS 33 Ermelo
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 1st Preliminary Round fixtures
- TEC vs Almkerk — team news & stats
- Harkemase Boys vs Excelsior '31
- SC Genemuiden v FC Lisse — match page
- Achilles Veen vs Poortugaal — team news & stats
- ADO '20 vs Excelsior Maassluis
- Sportlust '46 v Blauw Geel — match page
- Be Quick 1887 vs AFC Amsterdam — team news & stats
- AFC '34 vs VV Scherpenzeel
Before and after this match
ATC 65 vs DVS 33 Ermelo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | DVS 33 Ermelo | 40.3% | 2.48 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.3% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.7% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ATC 65 | 34.3% |
| Draw | 25.4% | |
| DVS 33 Ermelo | 40.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.9% |
| No | 35.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | DVS 33 Ermelo win | 21.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.0% | |
| Loss | 59.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.4% |
| 1-2 | 8.7% | |
| 2-1 | 8.0% |
ATC 65 vs DVS 33 Ermelo stats
ATC 65 and DVS 33 Ermelo recent form
| ATC 65 |
no matches on record |
| DVS 33 Ermelo |
LW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.