KNVB Beker · Full time ·1st Preliminary Round

Rijnvogels vs Bennekom

5 – 0 Full time

15′T. Bijen
22′I. Charai
50′J. Helder
59′T. Bijen
76′A. Mercera
Rijnvogels 34%
Draw 19%
Bennekom 47%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Rijnvogels vs Bennekom overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Rijnvogels vs Bennekom

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRijnvogelsDrawBennekom
Model34.1%19.2%46.8%
Market———
Final34.1%19.2%46.8%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Bennekom

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.65 vs 2.28.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Rijnvogels ↓ / Bennekom → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 5% 6% 5% 6% 2 5% 7% 6% 7% 3 4% 5% 4% 6% 4+ 4% 5% 4% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 99%
2+ goals 96%
3+ goals 87%
No goals 1%

Rijnvogels and Bennekom expected goals

Rijnvogels 2.28
Bennekom 2.65

Total expected goals: 4.93

Rijnvogels and Bennekom attack and defence ratings

Rijnvogels

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 1.34 +34%

Bennekom

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Rijnvogels vs Bennekom: result vs prediction

Rijnvogels 5 – 0 Bennekom

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other 1st Preliminary Round fixtures

KNVB Beker

Before and after this match

Rijnvogels vs Bennekom markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Bennekom 46.8% 2.14 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 86.9% 1.15 — —
Both teams to score Yes 83.8% 1.19 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 80.8% 1.24 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.2% 1.88 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Rijnvogels34.1%
Draw19.2%
Bennekom46.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.586.9%
Under 2.513.1%
Both teams to scoreYes83.8%
No16.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)53.2%
12 (either side)80.8%
X2 (draw or away)65.9%
Handicap -1Bennekom win29.7%
Push (exactly one goal)17.1%
Loss53.2%
Correct score (top 3)2-26.6%
2-35.8%
1-25.8%

Rijnvogels vs Bennekom stats

Rijnvogels and Bennekom recent form

newest first
Rijnvogels L
Bennekom no matches on record

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.

Rijnvogels vs Bennekom head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Rijnvogels vs Bennekom odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.