Norway 1. Division · Full time ·Matchday 30

Sogndal vs hodd

0 – 0 Full time

Fosshaugane Campus, SogndalReferee: J. W. Grundt

Sogndal 63%
Draw 20%
hodd 17%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Sogndal vs hodd overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sogndal vs hodd

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySogndalDrawhodd
Model58.0%20.9%21.0%
Market64.8%19.3%15.9%
Final63.1%19.7%17.2%
Edge-1.7%+0.4%+1.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Sogndal

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.34 vs 1.38.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sogndal ↓ / hodd → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 5% 9% 5% 2 7% 9% 6% 3 5% 7% 5% 4+ 5% 7% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 72%
No goals 3%

Sogndal and hodd expected goals

Sogndal 2.34
hodd 1.38

Total expected goals: 3.72

Sogndal and hodd attack and defence ratings

Sogndal

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 0.95 -5%

hodd

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 1.27 +27%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sogndal vs hodd: result vs prediction

Sogndal 0 – 0 hodd

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 30 fixtures

Norway 1. Division

Before and after this match

Sogndal vs hodd markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sogndal 63.1% 1.58 -1.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 71.8% 1.39 — —
Both teams to score Yes 68.5% 1.46 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 82.8% 1.21 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 42.0% 2.38 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sogndal63.1%
Draw19.7%
hodd17.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.571.8%
Under 2.528.2%
Both teams to scoreYes68.5%
No31.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)82.8%
12 (either side)80.3%
X2 (draw or away)36.9%
Handicap -1Sogndal win37.5%
Push (exactly one goal)20.5%
Loss42.0%
Correct score (top 3)2-19.2%
1-18.6%
3-17.1%

Sogndal vs hodd stats

Sogndal and hodd recent form

newest first
Sogndal LLWWDL
hodd LLLWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sogndal and hodd going into this match

league record before kick-off

Sogndal record

  • They have won 8 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 29 matches.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

hodd record

  • They have won 11 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 29 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sogndal vs hodd head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

3Sogndal wins 3Draws 3hodd wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-16hoddSogndalNorway 1. Division2-2
2026-02-28hoddSogndalFriendlies Clubs1-5
2025-08-06SogndalhoddNorway 1. Division2-1
2025-05-11hoddSogndalNorway 1. Division2-1
2025-02-26SogndalhoddFriendlies Clubs1-2
2024-03-09hoddSogndalFriendlies Clubs2-0
2023-10-21hoddSogndal1. Division2-2
2023-05-16Sogndalhodd1. Division1-0
2023-01-28SogndalhoddFriendlies Clubs0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Sogndal vs hodd odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 64.8%, draw 19.3%, away 15.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.41 4.80 6.16
Bet365 1.48 4.50 5.50
BetVictor 1.44 4.75 6.00
Betano 1.40 4.90 6.10
Betfair 1.40 4.60 5.50
Dafabet 1.49 4.70 5.40
Marathonbet 1.40 4.80 6.10
Pinnacle 1.43 5.10 5.81
SBO 1.30 4.65 5.61
William Hill 1.40 4.50 5.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.40 ▲ +0.07
X 4.72 ▼ -0.68
2 5.71 ▼ -1.09

13 snapshots recorded, from .