Garuda Lions
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Superettan · Full time ·Matchday 20

IFK Varnamo vs Landskrona BoIS

1 – 1 Full time

Finnvedsvallen, VarnamoReferee: N. Karlsson

IFK Varnamo 38%
Draw 28%
Landskrona BoIS 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

IFK Varnamo vs Landskrona BoIS overview

Garuda Lions analysis: IFK Varnamo vs Landskrona BoIS

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityIFK VarnamoDrawLandskrona BoIS
Model30.7%31.2%38.1%
Market40.2%27.2%32.6%
Final37.8%28.2%34.0%
Edge-9.5%+4.0%+5.5%

Confidence: Low

Why IFK Varnamo

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

IFK Varnamo ↓ / Landskrona BoI → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 11% 8% 1 10% 15% 8% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 67%
3+ goals 39%
No goals 12%

IFK Varnamo and Landskrona BoIS expected goals

IFK Varnamo 1.06
Landskrona BoIS 1.21

Total expected goals: 2.26

IFK Varnamo and Landskrona BoIS attack and defence ratings

IFK Varnamo

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 1.09 +9%

Landskrona BoIS

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 0.70 -30%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

IFK Varnamo vs Landskrona BoIS: result vs prediction

IFK Varnamo 1 – 1 Landskrona BoIS

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 20 fixtures

Superettan

Before and after this match

IFK Varnamo vs Landskrona BoIS markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 IFK Varnamo 37.8% 2.64 -9.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 60.6% 1.65 — —
Both teams to score No 52.9% 1.89 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.8% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 69.3% 1.44 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2IFK Varnamo37.8%
Draw28.2%
Landskrona BoIS34.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539.4%
Under 2.560.6%
Both teams to scoreYes47.1%
No52.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.0%
12 (either side)71.8%
X2 (draw or away)62.2%
Handicap -1IFK Varnamo win12.4%
Push (exactly one goal)18.3%
Loss69.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.6%
0-011.7%
0-111.2%

IFK Varnamo vs Landskrona BoIS stats

IFK Varnamo and Landskrona BoIS recent form

newest first
IFK Varnamo WDWWDL
Landskrona BoIS WDWLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

IFK Varnamo and Landskrona BoIS going into this match

league record before kick-off

IFK Varnamo record

  • They have won 6 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 22 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Landskrona BoIS record

  • They have won 9 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 22 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

IFK Varnamo vs Landskrona BoIS head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5IFK Varnamo wins 3Draws 2Landskrona BoIS wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-28Landskrona BoISIFK VarnamoSuperettan1-0
2026-02-13IFK VarnamoLandskrona BoISFriendlies Clubs4-2
2025-03-15Landskrona BoISIFK VarnamoFriendlies Clubs1-1
2024-11-24IFK VarnamoLandskrona BoISAllsvenskan1-0
2024-11-21Landskrona BoISIFK VarnamoAllsvenskan2-2
2023-01-28IFK VarnamoLandskrona BoISFriendlies Clubs2-1
2021-08-21IFK VarnamoLandskrona BoISSuperettan2-0
2021-04-10Landskrona BoISIFK VarnamoSuperettan2-0
2020-11-15IFK VarnamoLandskrona BoISEttan - Södra0-0
2020-06-27Landskrona BoISIFK VarnamoEttan - Södra1-4

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

IFK Varnamo vs Landskrona BoIS odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 40.3%, draw 27.2%, away 32.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.20 3.55 3.00
1xBet 2.31 3.40 2.89
888Sport 2.15 3.20 3.00
Bet365 2.25 3.30 2.75
BetVictor 2.30 3.50 2.80
Betano 2.32 3.40 2.82
Betfair 2.30 3.40 2.88
Dafabet 2.33 3.45 2.85
Marathonbet 2.29 3.40 2.88
Pinnacle 2.35 3.48 2.98
SBO 2.32 3.26 2.68
Superbet 2.30 3.40 2.85
Unibet 2.28 3.35 2.70
William Hill 2.25 3.10 2.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.30 ▲ +0.10
X 3.40 ▼ -0.05
2 2.83 ▼ -0.17

6 snapshots recorded, from .