Ostersunds FK
vs
Ljungskile SK
0 – 0 Full time
Ostersunds FK vs Ljungskile SK overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ostersunds FK vs Ljungskile SK
| Probability | Ostersunds FK | Draw | Ljungskile SK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.8% | 27.3% | 21.9% |
| Market | 48.1% | 26.2% | 25.7% |
| Final | 48.8% | 26.5% | 24.7% |
| Edge | +2.7% | +1.1% | -3.7% |
Why Ostersunds FK
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.61 vs 0.98.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices Ostersunds FK below the model: +2.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ostersunds FK and Ljungskile SK expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.59
Ostersunds FK and Ljungskile SK attack and defence ratings
Ostersunds FK
Ljungskile SK
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Ostersunds FK vs Ljungskile SK: result vs prediction
Ostersunds FK 0 – 0 Ljungskile SK
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 20 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ostersunds FK vs Ljungskile SK markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ostersunds FK | 48.8% | 2.05 | +2.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ostersunds FK | 48.8% |
| Draw | 26.5% | |
| Ljungskile SK | 24.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.3% |
| No | 48.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ostersunds FK win | 27.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.3% | |
| Loss | 49.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.0% |
| 1-0 | 10.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.7% |
Ostersunds FK vs Ljungskile SK stats
Ostersunds FK and Ljungskile SK recent form
| WDWWDW | |
| WLLDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ostersunds FK and Ljungskile SK going into this match
Ostersunds FK record
- They have won 10 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 22 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ljungskile SK record
- They have won 6 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 22 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ostersunds FK vs Ljungskile SK head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Ljungskile SK | Ostersunds FK | Superettan | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Ostersunds FK vs Ljungskile SK odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.0%, draw 26.2%, away 25.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.95 | 3.60 | 3.50 |
| 1xBet | 1.91 | 3.62 | 3.65 |
| 888Sport | 1.91 | 3.30 | 3.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 1.93 | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| Betano | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.55 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.70 | 3.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.94 | 3.55 | 3.70 |
| Marathonbet | 1.89 | 3.62 | 3.65 |
| Pinnacle | 1.92 | 3.79 | 3.80 |
| SBO | 1.95 | 3.35 | 3.36 |
| Superbet | 1.95 | 3.45 | 3.60 |
| Unibet | 1.92 | 3.45 | 3.40 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.40 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .