Superettan · Full time ·Matchday 20

Ostersunds FK vs Ljungskile SK

0 – 0 Full time

Jamtkraft Arena, OstersundReferee: R. Beigi

Ostersunds FK 49%
Draw 26%
Ljungskile SK 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Ostersunds FK vs Ljungskile SK overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Ostersunds FK vs Ljungskile SK

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityOstersunds FKDrawLjungskile SK
Model50.8%27.3%21.9%
Market48.1%26.2%25.7%
Final48.8%26.5%24.7%
Edge+2.7%+1.1%-3.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Ostersunds FK

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.61 vs 0.98.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Ostersunds FK below the model: +2.7 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Ostersunds FK ↓ / Ljungskile SK → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 1 11% 13% 2 10% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 48%
No goals 9%

Ostersunds FK and Ljungskile SK expected goals

Ostersunds FK 1.61
Ljungskile SK 0.98

Total expected goals: 2.59

Ostersunds FK and Ljungskile SK attack and defence ratings

Ostersunds FK

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 0.72 -28%

Ljungskile SK

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Ostersunds FK vs Ljungskile SK: result vs prediction

Ostersunds FK 0 – 0 Ljungskile SK

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 20 fixtures

Superettan

Before and after this match

Ostersunds FK vs Ljungskile SK markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Ostersunds FK 48.8% 2.05 +2.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.0% 1.92 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.3% 1.95 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.3% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 49.2% 2.03 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Ostersunds FK48.8%
Draw26.5%
Ljungskile SK24.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.548.0%
Under 2.552.0%
Both teams to scoreYes51.3%
No48.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.3%
12 (either side)73.5%
X2 (draw or away)51.2%
Handicap -1Ostersunds FK win27.5%
Push (exactly one goal)23.3%
Loss49.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.0%
1-010.9%
2-09.7%

Ostersunds FK vs Ljungskile SK stats

Ostersunds FK and Ljungskile SK recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Ostersunds FK and Ljungskile SK going into this match

league record before kick-off

Ostersunds FK record

  • They have won 10 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 22 matches.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Ljungskile SK record

  • They have won 6 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 22 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Ostersunds FK vs Ljungskile SK head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Ostersunds FK wins 1Draws 0Ljungskile SK wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-14Ljungskile SKOstersunds FKSuperettan1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Ostersunds FK vs Ljungskile SK odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 48.0%, draw 26.2%, away 25.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.95 3.60 3.50
1xBet 1.91 3.62 3.65
888Sport 1.91 3.30 3.50
Bet365 1.85 3.40 3.40
BetVictor 1.93 3.60 3.60
Betano 1.95 3.50 3.55
Betfair 1.91 3.70 3.60
Dafabet 1.94 3.55 3.70
Marathonbet 1.89 3.62 3.65
Pinnacle 1.92 3.79 3.80
SBO 1.95 3.35 3.36
Superbet 1.95 3.45 3.60
Unibet 1.92 3.45 3.40
William Hill 1.91 3.40 3.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.92 ▼ -0.07
X 3.52 ▲ +0.07
2 3.60 ▲ +0.20

6 snapshots recorded, from .