Superettan · Full time ·Matchday 20

Osters IF vs GIF Sundsvall

1 – 0 Full time

Spiris Arena, VaxjoReferee: Fredrik Klitte, Sweden

Osters IF 62%
Draw 21%
GIF Sundsvall 17%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Osters IF vs GIF Sundsvall overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Osters IF vs GIF Sundsvall

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityOsters IFDrawGIF Sundsvall
Model82.2%12.8%5.0%
Market54.9%24.0%21.1%
Final61.7%21.2%17.1%
Edge+27.2%-11.1%-16.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Osters IF

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.84 vs 0.62.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Osters IF below the model: +27.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Osters IF ↓ / GIF Sundsvall → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 2 13% 3 12% 4+ 17% 11%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 67%
No goals 4%

Osters IF and GIF Sundsvall expected goals

Osters IF 2.84
GIF Sundsvall 0.62

Total expected goals: 3.46

Osters IF and GIF Sundsvall attack and defence ratings

Osters IF

Attack 1.30 +30%
Defence 0.91 -9%

GIF Sundsvall

Attack 0.53 -47%
Defence 1.37 +37%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Osters IF vs GIF Sundsvall: result vs prediction

Osters IF 1 – 0 GIF Sundsvall

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 20 fixtures

Superettan

Before and after this match

Osters IF vs GIF Sundsvall markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Osters IF 61.7% 1.62 +27.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 67.2% 1.49 — —
Both teams to score No 55.7% 1.79 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 82.9% 1.21 — —
Handicap -1 Osters IF win 63.2% 1.58 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Osters IF61.7%
Draw21.2%
GIF Sundsvall17.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.567.2%
Under 2.532.8%
Both teams to scoreYes44.3%
No55.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)82.9%
12 (either side)78.8%
X2 (draw or away)38.3%
Handicap -1Osters IF win63.2%
Push (exactly one goal)18.9%
Loss17.8%
Correct score (top 3)2-012.6%
3-011.9%
4-08.5%

Osters IF vs GIF Sundsvall stats

Osters IF and GIF Sundsvall recent form

newest first
Osters IF WWLLWW
GIF Sundsvall LDLLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Osters IF and GIF Sundsvall going into this match

league record before kick-off

Osters IF record

  • They have won 10 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 22 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

GIF Sundsvall record

  • They have won 5 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 10 of 22 matches.
  • 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Osters IF vs GIF Sundsvall head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

6Osters IF wins 2Draws 1GIF Sundsvall wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-15GIF SundsvallOsters IFSuperettan0-4
2024-09-23GIF SundsvallOsters IFSuperettan0-2
2024-07-20Osters IFGIF SundsvallSuperettan2-0
2023-11-11Osters IFGIF SundsvallSuperettan4-0
2023-04-24GIF SundsvallOsters IFSuperettan2-3
2021-11-20GIF SundsvallOsters IFSuperettan1-1
2021-05-11Osters IFGIF SundsvallSuperettan0-2
2020-09-05GIF SundsvallOsters IFSuperettan1-2
2020-07-25Osters IFGIF SundsvallSuperettan1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Osters IF vs GIF Sundsvall odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 55.0%, draw 24.0%, away 21.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.70 3.85 4.50
1xBet 1.70 3.92 4.37
888Sport 1.57 3.80 4.60
Bet365 1.65 3.60 4.10
BetVictor 1.67 4.00 4.40
Betano 1.72 3.75 4.25
Betfair 1.67 4.00 4.50
Dafabet 1.73 3.85 4.30
Marathonbet 1.68 3.92 4.40
Pinnacle 1.72 4.12 4.42
SBO 1.68 3.69 4.16
Superbet 1.70 3.85 4.25
Unibet 1.58 3.95 4.50
William Hill 1.67 3.75 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.68 ▲ +0.08
X 3.85 ▼ -0.12
2 4.37 ▼ -0.23

9 snapshots recorded, from .