Superettan · Full time ·Matchday 21

GIF Sundsvall vs Norrby IF

1 – 0 Full time

3′E. Gojani
35′Alper Demirol
36′J. OlssonD. Henareh
57′E. CarrickC. Bjork
57′I. HallingT. Kagayama
66′I. AdewaleJ. Bichis
75′E. HanssonJ. Bjornler
75′J. JohanssonK. Liimatainen
81′Jamie Bichis
87′O. BacklundF. Neat

NP3 Arena, SundsvallReferee: Farouk Nehdi, Sweden

GIF Sundsvall 27%
Draw 28%
Norrby IF 45%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

GIF Sundsvall vs Norrby IF overview

Garuda Lions analysis: GIF Sundsvall vs Norrby IF

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGIF SundsvallDrawNorrby IF
Model13.8%28.2%58.1%
Market31.9%28.2%40.0%
Final27.3%28.2%44.5%
Edge-18.1%-0.0%+18.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Norrby IF

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.50 vs 0.61.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Norrby IF below the model: +18.1 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

GIF Sundsvall ↓ / Norrby IF → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 17% 14% 1 12% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 63%
3+ goals 35%
No goals 13%

GIF Sundsvall and Norrby IF expected goals

GIF Sundsvall 0.61
Norrby IF 1.50

Total expected goals: 2.11

GIF Sundsvall and Norrby IF attack and defence ratings

GIF Sundsvall

Attack 0.49 -51%
Defence 1.29 +29%

Norrby IF

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 0.78 -22%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

GIF Sundsvall vs Norrby IF: result vs prediction

GIF Sundsvall 1 – 0 Norrby IF

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 21 fixtures

Superettan

Before and after this match

GIF Sundsvall vs Norrby IF markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Norrby IF 44.5% 2.25 +18.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 64.7% 1.55 — —
Both teams to score No 63.6% 1.57 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 72.7% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 41.9% 2.39 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2GIF Sundsvall27.3%
Draw28.2%
Norrby IF44.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.535.3%
Under 2.564.7%
Both teams to scoreYes36.4%
No63.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)55.5%
12 (either side)71.8%
X2 (draw or away)72.7%
Handicap -1Norrby IF win31.3%
Push (exactly one goal)26.8%
Loss41.9%
Correct score (top 3)0-117.1%
0-213.7%
0-013.2%

GIF Sundsvall vs Norrby IF stats

GIF Sundsvall and Norrby IF recent form

newest first
GIF Sundsvall LLDLLL
Norrby IF WDLWDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

GIF Sundsvall and Norrby IF going into this match

league record before kick-off

GIF Sundsvall record

  • They have won 5 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 10 of 22 matches.
  • 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Norrby IF record

  • They have won 4 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 22 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

GIF Sundsvall vs Norrby IF head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

3GIF Sundsvall wins 2Draws 1Norrby IF wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-20Norrby IFGIF SundsvallSuperettan3-1
2023-02-19GIF SundsvallNorrby IFSvenska Cupen1-1
2021-11-07Norrby IFGIF SundsvallSuperettan1-4
2021-04-24GIF SundsvallNorrby IFSuperettan2-0
2020-09-22Norrby IFGIF SundsvallSuperettan0-1
2020-07-18GIF SundsvallNorrby IFSuperettan0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

GIF Sundsvall vs Norrby IF odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 31.9%, draw 28.2%, away 40.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.90 3.40 2.30
1xBet 2.93 3.28 2.34
Bet365 2.80 3.25 2.20
BetVictor 2.90 3.40 2.30
Betano 2.92 3.25 2.32
Betfair 2.88 3.50 2.30
Dafabet 2.95 3.35 2.33
Marathonbet 2.91 3.28 2.32
Pinnacle 2.98 3.42 2.38
SBO 2.80 3.13 2.31
Superbet 2.90 3.30 2.32
Unibet 2.75 3.25 2.30
William Hill 2.80 3.10 2.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.90 ▼ -0.18
X 3.28 ▼ -0.05
2 2.31 ▲ +0.11

5 snapshots recorded, from .