Superettan · Full time ·Matchday 21

Helsingborg vs Orebro SK

1 – 1 Full time

27′V. Sandberg
41′M. KusuE. Ibrahimbegovic
52′J. Haliti
60′J. Voelkerling Persson
63′C. AmatkarijoA. Ghasem
68′A. AkimeyT. Rupil
72′L. SadikuS. Asoma
76′E. Lindell
77′A. Yasin
82′L. HedenbergJ. Hasselqvist
82′E. LindellC. Biten
85′V. SandbergM. Watson
85′R. Wiedesheim-PaulF. Wahlstrom
85′S. WikmanG. Bovalina
87′T. Rupil
90′A. Johansson

Olympia, HelsingborgReferee: Fredrik Alknas, Sweden

Helsingborg 44%
Draw 25%
Orebro SK 31%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 3
42 Possession % 58
3 Corners 4

Helsingborg vs Orebro SK overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Helsingborg vs Orebro SK

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHelsingborgDrawOrebro SK
Model49.7%20.5%29.8%
Market42.6%26.5%30.9%
Final44.4%25.0%30.6%
Edge+7.2%-6.0%-1.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Helsingborg

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.43 vs 1.88.
  • The market prices Helsingborg below the model: +7.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Helsingborg ↓ / Orebro SK → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 6% 2 4% 7% 7% 4% 3 6% 6% 4+ 6% 6% 4%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 93%
3+ goals 80%
No goals 2%

Helsingborg and Orebro SK expected goals

Helsingborg 2.43
Orebro SK 1.88

Total expected goals: 4.31

Helsingborg and Orebro SK attack and defence ratings

Helsingborg

Attack 1.26 +26%
Defence 1.36 +36%

Orebro SK

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 1.21 +21%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Helsingborg vs Orebro SK: result vs prediction

Helsingborg 1 – 1 Orebro SK

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 21 fixtures

Superettan

Before and after this match

Helsingborg vs Orebro SK markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Helsingborg 44.4% 2.25 +7.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 80.4% 1.24 — —
Both teams to score Yes 77.9% 1.28 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.0% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.3% 1.99 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Helsingborg44.4%
Draw25.0%
Orebro SK30.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.580.4%
Under 2.519.6%
Both teams to scoreYes77.9%
No22.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.4%
12 (either side)75.0%
X2 (draw or away)55.6%
Handicap -1Helsingborg win31.2%
Push (exactly one goal)18.5%
Loss50.3%
Correct score (top 3)2-17.4%
2-27.0%
1-16.8%

Helsingborg vs Orebro SK stats

Helsingborg and Orebro SK recent form

newest first
Helsingborg WLDLLD
Orebro SK WWDLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Helsingborg and Orebro SK going into this match

league record before kick-off

Helsingborg record

  • They have won 7 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 22 matches.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Orebro SK record

  • They have won 4 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 22 matches.

Helsingborg vs Orebro SK head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Helsingborg wins 2Draws 3Orebro SK wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-26Orebro SKHelsingborgSuperettan1-2
2025-10-19HelsingborgOrebro SKSuperettan3-2
2025-04-15Orebro SKHelsingborgSuperettan0-2
2024-11-03Orebro SKHelsingborgSuperettan2-1
2024-06-16HelsingborgOrebro SKSuperettan1-0
2023-10-03HelsingborgOrebro SKSuperettan4-1
2023-05-28Orebro SKHelsingborgSuperettan1-1
2020-10-25Orebro SKHelsingborgAllsvenskan3-2
2020-07-23HelsingborgOrebro SKAllsvenskan1-1
2019-07-29HelsingborgOrebro SKAllsvenskan1-4

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Helsingborg vs Orebro SK odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 42.6%, draw 26.5%, away 30.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.15 3.55 3.00
1xBet 2.18 3.58 2.98
Bet365 2.20 3.30 3.00
BetVictor 2.20 3.50 3.00
Betano 2.25 3.40 2.92
Betfair 2.10 3.70 3.00
Dafabet 2.15 3.55 3.10
Marathonbet 2.15 3.60 2.98
Pinnacle 2.21 3.74 3.04
SBO 2.24 3.26 2.80
Superbet 2.22 3.40 2.95
Unibet 2.04 3.40 3.10
William Hill 2.15 3.40 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.18 ▼ -0.02
X 3.50 ▼ -0.14
2 3.00 ▲ +0.10

9 snapshots recorded, from .