Superettan · Full time ·Matchday 21

Varbergs BoIS FC vs Oddevold

3 – 1 Full time

Paskbergsvallen, VarbergReferee: Joakim Ostling, Sweden

Varbergs BoIS FC 43%
Draw 27%
Oddevold 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Varbergs BoIS FC vs Oddevold overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Varbergs BoIS FC vs Oddevold

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityVarbergs BoIS FCDrawOddevold
Model48.7%25.1%26.2%
Market40.9%27.6%31.6%
Final42.8%26.9%30.2%
Edge+7.8%-2.5%-5.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Varbergs BoIS FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 1.29.
  • The market prices Varbergs BoIS FC below the model: +7.8 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Varbergs BoIS ↓ / Oddevold → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 12% 7% 2 7% 10% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 6%

Varbergs BoIS FC and Oddevold expected goals

Varbergs BoIS FC 1.81
Oddevold 1.29

Total expected goals: 3.10

Varbergs BoIS FC and Oddevold attack and defence ratings

Varbergs BoIS FC

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Oddevold

Attack 1.16 +16%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Varbergs BoIS FC vs Oddevold: result vs prediction

Varbergs BoIS FC 3 – 1 Oddevold

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 21 fixtures

Superettan

Before and after this match

Varbergs BoIS FC vs Oddevold markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Varbergs BoIS FC 42.8% 2.34 +7.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59.9% 1.67 — —
Both teams to score Yes 61.7% 1.62 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.1% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 51.4% 1.95 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Varbergs BoIS FC42.8%
Draw26.9%
Oddevold30.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559.9%
Under 2.540.1%
Both teams to scoreYes61.7%
No38.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.8%
12 (either side)73.1%
X2 (draw or away)57.2%
Handicap -1Varbergs BoIS FC win27.5%
Push (exactly one goal)21.1%
Loss51.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.6%
2-19.5%
2-07.4%

Varbergs BoIS FC vs Oddevold stats

Varbergs BoIS FC and Oddevold recent form

newest first
Varbergs BoIS FC LWDLWL
Oddevold WDDWDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Varbergs BoIS FC and Oddevold going into this match

league record before kick-off

Varbergs BoIS FC record

  • They have won 11 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 22 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Oddevold record

  • They have won 8 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 22 matches.
  • 52% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Varbergs BoIS FC vs Oddevold head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

1Varbergs BoIS FC wins 1Draws 1Oddevold wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-18OddevoldVarbergs BoIS FCSuperettan2-4
2025-09-28Varbergs BoIS FCOddevoldSuperettan1-1
2025-06-22OddevoldVarbergs BoIS FCSuperettan2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Varbergs BoIS FC vs Oddevold odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 40.9%, draw 27.6%, away 31.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.25 3.50 2.95
1xBet 2.27 3.35 2.99
Bet365 2.35 3.25 2.62
Betano 2.32 3.35 2.87
Betfair 2.20 3.60 2.90
Dafabet 2.30 3.35 2.85
Marathonbet 2.25 3.35 2.97
Pinnacle 2.28 3.43 3.00
Unibet 2.12 3.30 3.05
William Hill 2.20 3.10 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.26 ▲ +0.14
X 3.35 ▲ +0.05
2 2.92 ▼ -0.12

8 snapshots recorded, from .