Varbergs BoIS FC
vs
Oddevold
3 – 1 Full time
Varbergs BoIS FC vs Oddevold overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Varbergs BoIS FC vs Oddevold
| Probability | Varbergs BoIS FC | Draw | Oddevold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.7% | 25.1% | 26.2% |
| Market | 40.9% | 27.6% | 31.6% |
| Final | 42.8% | 26.9% | 30.2% |
| Edge | +7.8% | -2.5% | -5.4% |
Why Varbergs BoIS FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 1.29.
- The market prices Varbergs BoIS FC below the model: +7.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Varbergs BoIS FC and Oddevold expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.10
Varbergs BoIS FC and Oddevold attack and defence ratings
Varbergs BoIS FC
Oddevold
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Varbergs BoIS FC vs Oddevold: result vs prediction
Varbergs BoIS FC 3 – 1 Oddevold
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 21 fixtures
Before and after this match
Varbergs BoIS FC vs Oddevold markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Varbergs BoIS FC | 42.8% | 2.34 | +7.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Varbergs BoIS FC | 42.8% |
| Draw | 26.9% | |
| Oddevold | 30.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.7% |
| No | 38.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Varbergs BoIS FC win | 27.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.1% | |
| Loss | 51.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 2-0 | 7.4% |
Varbergs BoIS FC vs Oddevold stats
Varbergs BoIS FC and Oddevold recent form
| LWDLWL | |
| WDDWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Varbergs BoIS FC and Oddevold going into this match
Varbergs BoIS FC record
- They have won 11 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 22 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Oddevold record
- They have won 8 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 22 matches.
- 52% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Varbergs BoIS FC vs Oddevold head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Oddevold | Varbergs BoIS FC | Superettan | 2-4 |
| 2025-09-28 | Varbergs BoIS FC | Oddevold | Superettan | 1-1 |
| 2025-06-22 | Oddevold | Varbergs BoIS FC | Superettan | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Varbergs BoIS FC vs Oddevold odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.9%, draw 27.6%, away 31.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.95 |
| 1xBet | 2.27 | 3.35 | 2.99 |
| Bet365 | 2.35 | 3.25 | 2.62 |
| Betano | 2.32 | 3.35 | 2.87 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.60 | 2.90 |
| Dafabet | 2.30 | 3.35 | 2.85 |
| Marathonbet | 2.25 | 3.35 | 2.97 |
| Pinnacle | 2.28 | 3.43 | 3.00 |
| Unibet | 2.12 | 3.30 | 3.05 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.10 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .