Superettan · 2026-09-05T11:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 22

IFK Varnamo vs Varbergs BoIS FC

1 – 1 Full time

38′			L. SibeliusS. Borgelin
62′			M. AkinfenwaA. Ljungberg
63′			C. JohanssonH. Andersson
63′			K. MeriluotoS. Jansson
65′			W. ArligL. Shabani
65′			J. NilssonO. Bryneus
72′			V. Claesson
83′			E. HellmanO. Alfonsi
83′			E. SadikuO. Werner
90′			S. Borgelin

Finnvedsvallen, VarnamoReferee: Farouk Nehdi, Sweden

IFK Varnamo

38%

Draw

27%

Varbergs BoIS FC

35%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

15	Shots	11
7	Shots on target	4
49	Possession %	51
12	Corners	8

IFK Varnamo vs Varbergs BoIS FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: IFK Varnamo vs Varbergs BoIS FC

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	IFK Varnamo	Draw	Varbergs BoIS FC
Model	30.5%	27.6%	41.9%
Market	40.0%	26.7%	33.3%
Final	37.6%	26.9%	35.5%
Edge	-9.5%	+0.9%	+8.6%

Confidence: Low

Why IFK Varnamo

Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

93%

2+ goals

78%

3+ goals

52%

No goals

IFK Varnamo and Varbergs BoIS FC expected goals

IFK Varnamo

1.26

Varbergs BoIS FC

1.51

Total expected goals: 2.77

IFK Varnamo and Varbergs BoIS FC attack and defence ratings

IFK Varnamo

Attack

0.92 -8%

Defence

0.94 -6%

Varbergs BoIS FC

Attack

1.24 +24%

Defence

0.87 -13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

IFK Varnamo vs Varbergs BoIS FC: result vs prediction

IFK Varnamo 1 – 1 Varbergs BoIS FC

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 22 fixtures

Superettan

IFK Norrkoping vs Ljungskile SK · 2026-09-04
Osters IF v United Nordic — match page · 2026-09-04
Norrby IF vs Landskrona BoIS · 2026-09-05
Oddevold v Falkenbergs FF — match page · 2026-09-05
Helsingborg vs Sandviken — team news & stats · 2026-09-05
IK brage vs GIF Sundsvall · 2026-09-05
Orebro SK v Ostersunds FK — match page · 2026-09-07

Before and after this match

IFK Varnamo, previous: Ljungskile SK v IFK Varnamo analysis
IFK Varnamo, next: United Nordic – IFK Varnamo, 2026-09-09
Varbergs BoIS FC, previous: Varbergs BoIS FC v Oddevold analysis
Varbergs BoIS FC, next: Varbergs BoIS FC – IFK Norrkoping, 2026-09-10

IFK Varnamo vs Varbergs BoIS FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	IFK Varnamo	37.6%	2.66	-9.5%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	52.5%	1.91	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	57.1%	1.75	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	73.1%	1.37	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	69.5%	1.44	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	IFK Varnamo	37.6%
	Draw	26.9%
	Varbergs BoIS FC	35.5%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	52.5%
	Under 2.5	47.5%
Both teams to score	Yes	57.1%
	No	42.9%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	64.5%
	12 (either side)	73.1%
	X2 (draw or away)	62.4%
Handicap -1	IFK Varnamo win	13.5%
	Push (exactly one goal)	17.0%
	Loss	69.5%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	13.1%
	1-2	9.0%
	0-1	8.2%

IFK Varnamo vs Varbergs BoIS FC stats

IFK Varnamo and Varbergs BoIS FC recent form

newest first

IFK Varnamo	WDWDWW
Varbergs BoIS FC	WLWDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

IFK Varnamo and Varbergs BoIS FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

IFK Varnamo record

They have won 6 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
They have kept 4 clean sheets in 22 matches.
They have failed to score in 7 of 22 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Varbergs BoIS FC record

They have won 11 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
They have kept 5 clean sheets in 22 matches.
They have failed to score in 5 of 22 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

IFK Varnamo vs Varbergs BoIS FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4IFK Varnamo wins 2Draws 4Varbergs BoIS FC wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-05-08	Varbergs BoIS FC	IFK Varnamo	Superettan	3-2
2023-08-19	Varbergs BoIS FC	IFK Varnamo	Allsvenskan	0-3
2023-05-09	IFK Varnamo	Varbergs BoIS FC	Allsvenskan	3-1
2023-03-11	IFK Varnamo	Varbergs BoIS FC	Friendlies Clubs	1-2
2022-09-17	IFK Varnamo	Varbergs BoIS FC	Allsvenskan	1-0
2022-07-03	Varbergs BoIS FC	IFK Varnamo	Allsvenskan	3-0
2018-09-03	Varbergs BoIS FC	IFK Varnamo	Superettan	2-2
2018-04-24	IFK Varnamo	Varbergs BoIS FC	Superettan	2-0
2017-09-09	Varbergs BoIS FC	IFK Varnamo	Superettan	2-1
2017-05-14	IFK Varnamo	Varbergs BoIS FC	Superettan	0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

IFK Varnamo vs Varbergs BoIS FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.7%, draw 26.9%, away 33.4%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
10Bet	2.30	3.50	2.88
1xBet	2.37	3.44	2.77
Bet365	2.15	3.40	2.75
BetVictor	2.38	3.50	2.70
Betano	2.37	3.35	2.77
Betfair	2.38	3.50	2.75
Dafabet	2.38	3.40	2.80
Marathonbet	2.28	3.46	2.84
Pinnacle	2.32	3.60	2.95
SBO	2.24	3.14	2.59
Unibet	2.32	3.35	2.70
William Hill	2.25	3.25	2.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.30 ▼ -0.20

X 3.45 ▲ +0.05

2 2.76 ▲ +0.27

12 snapshots recorded, from 2026-08-30T20:10:18Z.