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Superettan · Full time ·Matchday 23

Varbergs BoIS FC vs IFK Norrkoping

0 – 2 Full time

28′Gustav Broman
36′Isak Vidjeskog
54′Christoffer Nyman
60′Shanyder BorgelinLaorent Shabani
60′Jonathan nilssonWilhelm Arlig
60′oliver bryneusOlle Werner
72′Moutaz Neffati
73′Isak VidjeskogNiklas·Dahlstrom
77′Viktor ChristianssonFilip Dagerstål
77′Moutaz NeffatiFabian Holst-Larsen
77′Alexander FranssonAxel Vilhelm Lorens Brönner
77′Emil HellmanDante Oliver Alfonsi
84′Christoffer NymanTim Prica
84′Ryan Lee NelsonIsak Andri Sigurgeirsson

Paskbergsvallen, VarbergReferee: Rambod Beigi, Sweden

Varbergs BoIS FC 29%
Draw 26%
IFK Norrkoping 45%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 3
51 Possession % 49
7 Corners 4

Varbergs BoIS FC vs IFK Norrkoping overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Varbergs BoIS FC vs IFK Norrkoping

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityVarbergs BoIS FCDrawIFK Norrkoping
Model26.4%27.2%46.4%
Market29.3%26.1%44.6%
Final28.6%26.4%45.0%
Edge-2.9%+1.1%+1.8%

Confidence: Low

Why IFK Norrkoping

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.59 vs 1.15.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Varbergs BoIS ↓ / IFK Norrkoping → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 9% 8% 1 13% 9% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 52%
No goals 8%

Varbergs BoIS FC and IFK Norrkoping expected goals

Varbergs BoIS FC 1.15
IFK Norrkoping 1.59

Total expected goals: 2.75

Varbergs BoIS FC and IFK Norrkoping attack and defence ratings

Varbergs BoIS FC

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 0.86 -14%

IFK Norrkoping

Attack 1.42 +42%
Defence 0.63 -37%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Varbergs BoIS FC vs IFK Norrkoping: result vs prediction

Varbergs BoIS FC 0 – 2 IFK Norrkoping

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 23 fixtures

Superettan

Before and after this match

Varbergs BoIS FC vs IFK Norrkoping markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 IFK Norrkoping 45.0% 2.22 +1.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.8% 1.93 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.7% 1.80 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.6% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.6% 1.86 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Varbergs BoIS FC28.6%
Draw26.4%
IFK Norrkoping45.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.8%
Under 2.548.2%
Both teams to scoreYes55.7%
No44.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)55.0%
12 (either side)73.6%
X2 (draw or away)71.4%
Handicap -1IFK Norrkoping win24.6%
Push (exactly one goal)21.8%
Loss53.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.0%
1-29.4%
0-19.0%

Varbergs BoIS FC vs IFK Norrkoping stats

Varbergs BoIS FC and IFK Norrkoping recent form

newest first
Varbergs BoIS FC DWLWDL
IFK Norrkoping DWWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Varbergs BoIS FC and IFK Norrkoping going into this match

league record before kick-off

Varbergs BoIS FC record

  • They have won 11 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 22 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

IFK Norrkoping record

  • They have won 15 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 22 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 7 matches.
  • 48% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Varbergs BoIS FC vs IFK Norrkoping head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Varbergs BoIS FC wins 1Draws 7IFK Norrkoping wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-15IFK NorrkopingVarbergs BoIS FCSuperettan2-0
2023-11-06IFK NorrkopingVarbergs BoIS FCAllsvenskan4-3
2023-05-13Varbergs BoIS FCIFK NorrkopingAllsvenskan1-3
2022-08-28Varbergs BoIS FCIFK NorrkopingAllsvenskan1-1
2022-04-03IFK NorrkopingVarbergs BoIS FCAllsvenskan0-1
2022-03-05IFK NorrkopingVarbergs BoIS FCSvenska Cupen2-1
2021-09-26IFK NorrkopingVarbergs BoIS FCAllsvenskan2-1
2021-05-17Varbergs BoIS FCIFK NorrkopingAllsvenskan2-1
2020-10-18Varbergs BoIS FCIFK NorrkopingAllsvenskan1-3
2020-07-22IFK NorrkopingVarbergs BoIS FCAllsvenskan2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Varbergs BoIS FC vs IFK Norrkoping odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 29.3%, draw 26.1%, away 44.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.10 3.55 2.15
1xBet 3.23 3.54 2.08
888Sport 3.10 3.30 2.05
Bet365 3.00 3.40 2.05
BetVictor 3.20 3.60 2.05
Betano 3.15 3.50 2.10
Betfair 3.10 3.70 2.05
Dafabet 3.25 3.60 2.07
Marathonbet 3.22 3.54 2.06
Pinnacle 3.31 3.67 2.11
SBO 3.11 3.36 2.04
Superbet 3.20 3.50 2.07
Unibet 3.05 3.45 2.06
William Hill 3.10 3.30 2.05

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.13 ▼ -0.10
X 3.52 ▲ +0.04
2 2.06 ▼ -0.04

10 snapshots recorded, from .