Superettan · Full time ·Matchday 23

United Nordic vs IFK Varnamo

2 – 4 Full time

25′M. Antonsson
55′K. Meriluoto
58′H. AnderssonE. Freij
63′T. Gronborg
70′A. Ljungberg
72′A. LjungbergC. Johansson
72′K. MeriluotoS. Jansson
80′Sigge Jansson
80′T. JohanssonA. Eminovic
80′E. DurmazA. Fisic
80′M. FazalC. Aphrem
85′S. Shhab
88′M. Antonsson
90′Shirko Shhab
90′C. JohanssonM. Kamara

Sodertalje Fotbollsarena, SodertaljeReferee: Jasmin Svraka, Sweden

United Nordic 45%
Draw 27%
IFK Varnamo 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

2 Shots 4
2 Shots on target 4
41 Possession % 59
4 Corners 8

United Nordic vs IFK Varnamo overview

Garuda Lions analysis: United Nordic vs IFK Varnamo

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityUnited NordicDrawIFK Varnamo
Model46.6%29.5%23.9%
Market44.7%26.4%28.9%
Final45.2%27.1%27.7%
Edge+1.9%+3.1%-5.0%

Confidence: Low

Why United Nordic

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.42 vs 0.95.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

United Nordic ↓ / IFK Varnamo → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 8% 1 12% 14% 2 9% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 70%
3+ goals 42%
No goals 11%

United Nordic and IFK Varnamo expected goals

United Nordic 1.42
IFK Varnamo 0.95

Total expected goals: 2.36

United Nordic and IFK Varnamo attack and defence ratings

United Nordic

Attack 0.98 -2%
Defence 0.82 -18%

IFK Varnamo

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 0.91 -9%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

United Nordic vs IFK Varnamo: result vs prediction

United Nordic 2 – 4 IFK Varnamo

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 23 fixtures

Superettan

Before and after this match

United Nordic vs IFK Varnamo markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 United Nordic 45.2% 2.21 +1.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 58.0% 1.73 — —
Both teams to score No 52.4% 1.91 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.9% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.4% 1.87 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2United Nordic45.2%
Draw27.1%
IFK Varnamo27.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.542.0%
Under 2.558.0%
Both teams to scoreYes47.6%
No52.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.3%
12 (either side)72.9%
X2 (draw or away)54.8%
Handicap -1United Nordic win23.3%
Push (exactly one goal)23.2%
Loss53.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.9%
1-012.1%
0-010.7%

United Nordic vs IFK Varnamo stats

United Nordic and IFK Varnamo recent form

newest first
United Nordic WLWWDD
IFK Varnamo DWDWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

United Nordic and IFK Varnamo going into this match

league record before kick-off

United Nordic record

  • They have won 9 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 22 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

IFK Varnamo record

  • They have won 6 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 22 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

United Nordic vs IFK Varnamo head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1United Nordic wins 0Draws 0IFK Varnamo wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-31IFK VarnamoUnited NordicSuperettan0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

United Nordic vs IFK Varnamo odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 44.7%, draw 26.4%, away 28.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.10 3.60 3.20
1xBet 2.09 3.52 3.21
888Sport 2.00 3.30 3.10
Bet365 2.05 3.40 3.20
BetVictor 2.10 3.60 3.20
Betano 2.00 3.50 3.40
Betfair 2.05 3.70 3.10
Dafabet 2.07 3.55 3.30
Marathonbet 2.07 3.52 3.20
Pinnacle 2.10 3.74 3.27
SBO 2.02 3.37 3.16
Superbet 2.07 3.50 3.25
Unibet 2.10 3.50 2.95
William Hill 2.00 3.30 3.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.07 ▼ -0.10
X 3.51 ▲ +0.01
2 3.20 ▲ +0.25

12 snapshots recorded, from .