Superettan · Full time ·Matchday 23

GIF Sundsvall vs Orebro SK

0 – 3 Full time

17′Ahmed Yasin
51′Daniel HenarehWilmer Bjuhr
59′Ahmed Yasin
73′Alper DemirolMarc Manchón
73′Edward Carrickjoshua mambu
80′Rasmus Wiedesheim-Paul
82′Manasse KusuSamuel Wikman
82′Eron Gojani
83′Eron GojaniJeremiah Bjornler
83′Carl BjorkTaiki Kagayama
88′Ludvig Nåvik
89′Karl HolmbergFabian Wahlstrom
89′Ahmed YasinChristopher Redenstrand
89′Erdal RakipEdwin Ibrahimbegovic
90′Jetmir HalitiVictor Sandberg

NP3 Arena, SundsvallReferee: Per Martin Melin, Sweden

GIF Sundsvall 26%
Draw 28%
Orebro SK 47%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 4
36 Possession % 64
1 Corners 7

GIF Sundsvall vs Orebro SK overview

Garuda Lions analysis: GIF Sundsvall vs Orebro SK

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGIF SundsvallDrawOrebro SK
Model25.1%30.5%44.4%
Market26.1%26.6%47.4%
Final25.8%27.6%46.6%
Edge-0.9%+3.9%-3.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Orebro SK

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.33 vs 0.94.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

GIF Sundsvall ↓ / Orebro SK → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 12% 9% 1 8% 14% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 67%
3+ goals 39%
No goals 12%

GIF Sundsvall and Orebro SK expected goals

GIF Sundsvall 0.94
Orebro SK 1.33

Total expected goals: 2.27

GIF Sundsvall and Orebro SK attack and defence ratings

GIF Sundsvall

Attack 0.54 -46%
Defence 1.07 +7%

Orebro SK

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

GIF Sundsvall vs Orebro SK: result vs prediction

GIF Sundsvall 0 – 3 Orebro SK

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 23 fixtures

Superettan

Before and after this match

GIF Sundsvall vs Orebro SK markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Orebro SK 46.6% 2.15 -3.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 60.5% 1.65 — —
Both teams to score No 54.0% 1.85 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 74.2% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.6% 1.80 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2GIF Sundsvall25.8%
Draw27.6%
Orebro SK46.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539.5%
Under 2.560.5%
Both teams to scoreYes46.0%
No54.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)53.4%
12 (either side)72.4%
X2 (draw or away)74.2%
Handicap -1Orebro SK win21.3%
Push (exactly one goal)23.0%
Loss55.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.2%
0-112.5%
0-011.7%

GIF Sundsvall vs Orebro SK stats

GIF Sundsvall and Orebro SK recent form

newest first
GIF Sundsvall WWLLDL
Orebro SK LDWWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

GIF Sundsvall and Orebro SK going into this match

league record before kick-off

GIF Sundsvall record

  • They have won 5 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 10 of 22 matches.
  • 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Orebro SK record

  • They have won 4 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 22 matches.

GIF Sundsvall vs Orebro SK head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3GIF Sundsvall wins 4Draws 3Orebro SK wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-10Orebro SKGIF SundsvallSuperettan0-1
2025-07-26GIF SundsvallOrebro SKSuperettan1-1
2025-05-17Orebro SKGIF SundsvallSuperettan1-2
2024-08-31Orebro SKGIF SundsvallSuperettan0-0
2024-06-29GIF SundsvallOrebro SKSuperettan1-3
2023-10-24Orebro SKGIF SundsvallSuperettan0-1
2023-07-22GIF SundsvallOrebro SKSuperettan2-2
2019-09-14Orebro SKGIF SundsvallAllsvenskan0-0
2019-05-11GIF SundsvallOrebro SKAllsvenskan1-2
2018-09-15Orebro SKGIF SundsvallAllsvenskan2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

GIF Sundsvall vs Orebro SK odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 26.1%, draw 26.6%, away 47.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.75 3.60 1.90
1xBet 3.54 3.55 1.96
888Sport 3.30 3.30 1.95
Bet365 3.50 3.40 1.90
BetVictor 3.70 3.50 1.93
Betano 3.60 3.40 1.98
Betfair 3.60 3.60 1.91
Dafabet 3.60 3.50 1.97
Marathonbet 3.54 3.55 1.94
Pinnacle 3.71 3.71 1.96
SBO 3.32 3.23 2.01
Superbet 3.55 3.45 1.97
Unibet 3.40 3.35 1.94
William Hill 3.30 3.30 1.95

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.54 ▲ +0.50
X 3.48 ▲ +0.13
2 1.95 ▼ -0.20

7 snapshots recorded, from .