Superettan · Full time ·Matchday 22

IK brage vs GIF Sundsvall

0 – 1 Full time

27′Y. RafaelA. Hellblom
31′E. Hansson
46′G. GranstromA. Lundin
46′M. HallinE. Carrick
66′L. MadsenJ. Skille
69′C. BjorkM. Eriksson
78′Jakob Hedenquist
84′A. DemirolM. Manchon
88′Alex Mortensen
90′Viktor Frodig
90′Lucas Forsberg
90′GIF SundsvallT. Kagayama

Domnarvsvallen, BorlangeReferee: Fredrik Alknas, Sweden

IK brage 58%
Draw 23%
GIF Sundsvall 18%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

11 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 4
52 Possession % 48
6 Corners 5

IK brage vs GIF Sundsvall overview

Garuda Lions analysis: IK brage vs GIF Sundsvall

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityIK brageDrawGIF Sundsvall
Model55.1%25.3%19.6%
Market59.4%22.7%17.9%
Final58.3%23.4%18.3%
Edge-4.2%+2.5%+1.7%

Confidence: Low

Why IK brage

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 0.99.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

IK brage ↓ / GIF Sundsvall → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 10% 12% 2 10% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 53%
No goals 7%

IK brage and GIF Sundsvall expected goals

IK brage 1.79
GIF Sundsvall 0.99

Total expected goals: 2.79

IK brage and GIF Sundsvall attack and defence ratings

IK brage

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 1.44 +44%

GIF Sundsvall

Attack 0.53 -47%
Defence 1.17 +17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

IK brage vs GIF Sundsvall: result vs prediction

IK brage 0 – 1 GIF Sundsvall

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 22 fixtures

Superettan

Before and after this match

IK brage vs GIF Sundsvall markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 IK brage 58.3% 1.71 -4.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 52.8% 1.90 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.6% 1.87 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 81.7% 1.22 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 45.0% 2.22 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2IK brage58.3%
Draw23.4%
GIF Sundsvall18.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.552.8%
Under 2.547.2%
Both teams to scoreYes53.6%
No46.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)81.7%
12 (either side)76.6%
X2 (draw or away)41.7%
Handicap -1IK brage win31.8%
Push (exactly one goal)23.2%
Loss45.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.1%
1-010.0%
2-09.9%

IK brage vs GIF Sundsvall stats

IK brage and GIF Sundsvall recent form

newest first
IK brage LLLDLW
GIF Sundsvall WLLDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

IK brage and GIF Sundsvall going into this match

league record before kick-off

IK brage record

  • They have won 5 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 22 matches.
  • 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

GIF Sundsvall record

  • They have won 5 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 10 of 22 matches.
  • 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

IK brage vs GIF Sundsvall head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

8IK brage wins 1Draws 1GIF Sundsvall wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-20GIF SundsvallIK brageSuperettan1-2
2026-01-30GIF SundsvallIK brageFriendlies Clubs1-2
2025-09-24IK brageGIF SundsvallSuperettan0-1
2025-05-22GIF SundsvallIK brageSuperettan0-2
2025-02-01IK brageGIF SundsvallFriendlies Clubs1-0
2024-09-14GIF SundsvallIK brageSuperettan0-0
2024-06-23IK brageGIF SundsvallSuperettan5-0
2023-10-08GIF SundsvallIK brageSuperettan1-2
2023-05-08IK brageGIF SundsvallSuperettan2-0
2023-02-25GIF SundsvallIK brageSvenska Cupen0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

IK brage vs GIF Sundsvall odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 57.5%, draw 23.1%, away 19.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.67 3.95 4.60
1xBet 1.57 4.10 5.18
Bet365 1.53 3.90 4.75
BetVictor 1.57 4.10 5.25
Betano 1.65 3.90 4.60
Betfair 1.62 4.00 4.75
Dafabet 1.64 4.00 4.70
Marathonbet 1.55 4.10 5.25
Pinnacle 1.58 4.28 5.33
SBO 1.70 3.35 3.84
Unibet 1.62 3.75 4.50
William Hill 1.57 3.80 4.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.57 ▼ -0.10
X 4.10 ▲ +0.35
2 5.21 ▲ +0.81

12 snapshots recorded, from .