Superettan · 2026-09-04T17:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 22

IFK Norrkoping vs Ljungskile SK

2 – 2 Full time

1′			vilmer tyren
30′			vilmer tyren
45′			Moutaz Neffati
59′			Alfons BorénDavid Frisk
60′			Lukas cornerelton hedstrom
63′			Christoffer Nyman
67′			Axel Vilhelm Lorens BrönnerTim Prica
68′			Viktor ChristianssonAlexander Fransson
68′			Elias JemalIsak Andri Sigurgeirsson
68′			Ryan Lee NelsonAlbert aleksanjan
71′			Ivan·Maric
74′			Ivan·Maric
83′			Ture Sandberg
90′			Moutaz Neffati

PlatinumCars Arena, NorrkopingReferee: Per Martin Melin, Sweden

IFK Norrkoping

67%

Draw

20%

Ljungskile SK

13%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

24	Shots	13
13	Shots on target	5
64	Possession %	36
10	Corners	6

IFK Norrkoping vs Ljungskile SK overview

Garuda Lions analysis: IFK Norrkoping vs Ljungskile SK

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	IFK Norrkoping	Draw	Ljungskile SK
Model	69.9%	21.0%	9.1%
Market	66.4%	19.3%	14.3%
Final	67.3%	19.7%	13.0%
Edge	+3.5%	+1.7%	-5.2%

Confidence: Low

Why IFK Norrkoping

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.01 vs 0.60.
Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
The market prices IFK Norrkoping below the model: +3.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

92%

2+ goals

74%

3+ goals

48%

No goals

IFK Norrkoping and Ljungskile SK expected goals

IFK Norrkoping

2.01

Ljungskile SK

0.60

Total expected goals: 2.61

IFK Norrkoping and Ljungskile SK attack and defence ratings

IFK Norrkoping

Attack

1.41 +41%

Defence

0.52 -48%

Ljungskile SK

Attack

0.88 -12%

Defence

0.90 -10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

IFK Norrkoping vs Ljungskile SK: result vs prediction

IFK Norrkoping 2 – 2 Ljungskile SK

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 22 fixtures

Superettan

Osters IF v United Nordic — match page · 2026-09-04
IFK Varnamo vs Varbergs BoIS FC — team news & stats · 2026-09-05
Norrby IF vs Landskrona BoIS · 2026-09-05
Oddevold v Falkenbergs FF — match page · 2026-09-05
Helsingborg vs Sandviken — team news & stats · 2026-09-05
IK brage vs GIF Sundsvall · 2026-09-05
Orebro SK v Ostersunds FK — match page · 2026-09-07

Before and after this match

IFK Norrkoping, previous: United Nordic – IFK Norrkoping, 2026-08-29
IFK Norrkoping, next: Varbergs BoIS FC – IFK Norrkoping, 2026-09-10
Ljungskile SK, previous: Ljungskile SK v IFK Varnamo analysis
Ljungskile SK, next: Ljungskile SK v Norrby IF analysis

IFK Norrkoping vs Ljungskile SK markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	IFK Norrkoping	67.3%	1.49	+3.5%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	51.5%	1.94	—	—
Both teams to score	No	60.1%	1.66	—	—
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	87.0%	1.15	—	—
Handicap -1	IFK Norrkoping win	45.1%	2.22	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	IFK Norrkoping	67.3%
	Draw	19.7%
	Ljungskile SK	13.0%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	48.5%
	Under 2.5	51.5%
Both teams to score	Yes	39.9%
	No	60.1%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	87.0%
	12 (either side)	80.3%
	X2 (draw or away)	32.7%
Handicap -1	IFK Norrkoping win	45.1%
	Push (exactly one goal)	24.8%
	Loss	30.1%
Correct score (top 3)	2-0	14.9%
	1-0	13.9%
	3-0	10.0%

IFK Norrkoping vs Ljungskile SK stats

IFK Norrkoping and Ljungskile SK recent form

newest first

IFK Norrkoping	WWWWWW
Ljungskile SK	LDWLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

IFK Norrkoping and Ljungskile SK going into this match

league record before kick-off

IFK Norrkoping record

They have won 15 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
They have kept 11 clean sheets in 22 matches.
They have failed to score in 3 of 22 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 7 matches.
48% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Ljungskile SK record

They have won 6 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
They have kept 3 clean sheets in 22 matches.
They have failed to score in 8 of 22 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

IFK Norrkoping vs Ljungskile SK head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1IFK Norrkoping wins 0Draws 0Ljungskile SK wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-04-11	Ljungskile SK	IFK Norrkoping	Superettan	0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

IFK Norrkoping vs Ljungskile SK odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 64.1%, draw 20.5%, away 15.4%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
10Bet	1.45	4.40	6.50
1xBet	1.40	4.85	6.53
Bet365	1.40	4.75	6.00
BetVictor	1.40	4.80	6.50
Betano	1.47	4.45	5.70
Betfair	1.44	4.75	6.00
Dafabet	1.49	4.50	5.60
Marathonbet	1.39	4.85	6.50
Pinnacle	1.41	5.15	6.68
SBO	1.50	3.81	4.62
Superbet	1.55	4.20	5.00
Unibet	1.44	4.30	5.60
William Hill	1.40	4.40	5.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.40 ▼ -0.21

X 4.82 ▲ +0.65

2 6.50 ▲ +1.80

11 snapshots recorded, from 2026-08-30T20:10:18Z.