Superettan · 2026-09-09T17:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 23

Ljungskile SK vs Norrby IF

2 – 1 Full time

43′			H. Tilly
46′			D. E. Hedstrom J.S. Omar
51′			F. Ornblom
56′			Yusuf Abdulazeez
65′			Filip Ambroz
65′			Charlie Axede
69′			L. Lindholm CornerA. Rasheed
69′			W. NilssonA. Boren
76′			J. BichisI. Adewale
85′			A. Rasheed
88′			J. JohanssonF. Neat
90′			Y. AbdulazeezK. Liimatainen

Skarsjövallen, LjungskileReferee: Fredrik Oppong, Sweden

Ljungskile SK

45%

Draw

27%

Norrby IF

28%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

19	Shots	7
7	Shots on target	3
51	Possession %	49
9	Corners	3

Ljungskile SK vs Norrby IF overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Ljungskile SK vs Norrby IF

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Ljungskile SK	Draw	Norrby IF
Model	41.3%	30.9%	27.9%
Market	46.1%	25.9%	28.0%
Final	44.9%	27.1%	27.9%
Edge	-4.9%	+5.0%	-0.1%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

88%

2+ goals

68%

3+ goals

40%

No goals

12%

Ljungskile SK and Norrby IF expected goals

Ljungskile SK

1.27

Norrby IF

1.00

Total expected goals: 2.27

Ljungskile SK and Norrby IF attack and defence ratings

Ljungskile SK

Attack

0.90 -10%

Defence

0.96 -4%

Norrby IF

Attack

0.81 -19%

Defence

0.90 -10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Ljungskile SK vs Norrby IF: result vs prediction

Ljungskile SK 2 – 1 Norrby IF

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 23 fixtures

Superettan

Landskrona BoIS vs Helsingborg · 2026-09-09
Sandviken v Oddevold — match page · 2026-09-09
United Nordic vs IFK Varnamo — team news & stats · 2026-09-09
GIF Sundsvall vs Orebro SK · 2026-09-10
Ostersunds FK v IK brage — match page · 2026-09-10
Falkenbergs FF vs Osters IF — team news & stats · 2026-09-10
Varbergs BoIS FC vs IFK Norrkoping · 2026-09-10

Before and after this match

Ljungskile SK, previous: IFK Norrkoping v Ljungskile SK analysis
Ljungskile SK, next: Ljungskile SK vs Falkenbergs FF: odds and pick
Norrby IF, previous: Norrby IF – Landskrona BoIS, 2026-09-05
Norrby IF, next: Norrby IF – Varbergs BoIS FC, 2026-09-14

Ljungskile SK vs Norrby IF markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Ljungskile SK	44.9%	2.23	-4.9%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	60.3%	1.66	—	—
Both teams to score	No	53.2%	1.88	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	72.9%	1.37	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	58.7%	1.70	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Ljungskile SK	44.9%
	Draw	27.1%
	Norrby IF	27.9%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	39.7%
	Under 2.5	60.3%
Both teams to score	Yes	46.8%
	No	53.2%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	72.1%
	12 (either side)	72.9%
	X2 (draw or away)	55.1%
Handicap -1	Ljungskile SK win	19.2%
	Push (exactly one goal)	22.1%
	Loss	58.7%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	14.4%
	1-0	11.8%
	0-0	11.6%

Ljungskile SK vs Norrby IF stats

Ljungskile SK and Norrby IF recent form

newest first

Ljungskile SK	DLDWLL
Norrby IF	LLWDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Ljungskile SK and Norrby IF going into this match

league record before kick-off

Ljungskile SK record

They have won 6 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
They have kept 3 clean sheets in 22 matches.
They have failed to score in 8 of 22 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Norrby IF record

They have won 4 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
They have kept 3 clean sheets in 22 matches.
They have failed to score in 7 of 22 matches.
36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Ljungskile SK vs Norrby IF head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Ljungskile SK wins 2Draws 5Norrby IF wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-05-23	Norrby IF	Ljungskile SK	Superettan	2-1
2026-03-07	Ljungskile SK	Norrby IF	Friendlies Clubs	2-1
2025-09-08	Norrby IF	Ljungskile SK	Ettan - Södra	4-2
2025-04-05	Ljungskile SK	Norrby IF	Ettan - Södra	0-2
2024-08-05	Ljungskile SK	Norrby IF	Ettan - Södra	0-4
2024-06-27	Norrby IF	Ljungskile SK	Ettan - Södra	3-0
2023-08-25	Ljungskile SK	Norrby IF	Ettan - Södra	3-0
2023-04-10	Norrby IF	Ljungskile SK	Ettan - Södra	0-1
2020-09-17	Ljungskile SK	Norrby IF	Superettan	1-1
2020-07-04	Norrby IF	Ljungskile SK	Superettan	2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Ljungskile SK vs Norrby IF odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 46.1%, draw 25.9%, away 28.0%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
10Bet	2.00	3.70	3.30
1xBet	2.03	3.58	3.31
888Sport	1.95	3.40	3.10
Bet365	2.00	3.40	3.30
BetVictor	2.00	3.70	3.30
Betano	2.02	3.55	3.30
Betfair	2.00	3.80	3.25
Dafabet	1.93	3.60	3.65
Marathonbet	2.01	3.58	3.30
Pinnacle	2.04	3.80	3.37
SBO	2.00	3.47	3.11
Superbet	2.02	3.55	3.30
Unibet	1.86	3.55	3.50
William Hill	1.95	3.40	3.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.00 ▲ +0.07

X 3.56 ▼ -0.04

2 3.30 ▼ -0.20

12 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-04T08:10:01Z.