United Nordic
vs
IFK Norrkoping
1 – 3 Full time
United Nordic vs IFK Norrkoping overview
Garuda Lions analysis: United Nordic vs IFK Norrkoping
| Probability | United Nordic | Draw | IFK Norrkoping |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 20.9% | 32.0% | 47.1% |
| Market | 27.3% | 25.6% | 47.2% |
| Final | 25.7% | 27.2% | 47.2% |
| Edge | -6.4% | +6.4% | -0.0% |
Why IFK Norrkoping
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.26 vs 0.75.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
United Nordic and IFK Norrkoping expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.01
United Nordic and IFK Norrkoping attack and defence ratings
United Nordic
IFK Norrkoping
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
United Nordic vs IFK Norrkoping: result vs prediction
United Nordic 1 – 3 IFK Norrkoping
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 21 fixtures
Before and after this match
United Nordic vs IFK Norrkoping markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | IFK Norrkoping | 47.2% | 2.12 | -0.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | United Nordic | 25.7% |
| Draw | 27.2% | |
| IFK Norrkoping | 47.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 32.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 67.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39.0% |
| No | 61.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 52.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | IFK Norrkoping win | 22.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.9% | |
| Loss | 52.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 15.6% |
| 0-0 | 14.7% | |
| 1-1 | 13.9% |
United Nordic vs IFK Norrkoping stats
United Nordic and IFK Norrkoping recent form
| United Nordic |
WWDDDD |
| IFK Norrkoping |
WWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
United Nordic and IFK Norrkoping going into this match
United Nordic record
- They have won 9 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 22 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
IFK Norrkoping record
- They have won 15 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 22 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 7 matches.
- 48% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
United Nordic vs IFK Norrkoping head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | IFK Norrkoping | United Nordic | Superettan | 1-1 |
| 2026-02-08 | United Nordic | IFK Norrkoping | Friendlies Clubs | 1-1 |
| 2026-01-30 | IFK Norrkoping | United Nordic | Friendlies Clubs | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
United Nordic vs IFK Norrkoping odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 27.3%, draw 25.6%, away 47.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.45 | 3.70 | 1.95 |
| 1xBet | 3.54 | 3.60 | 1.95 |
| Bet365 | 3.25 | 3.40 | 1.95 |
| Betano | 3.35 | 3.55 | 2.00 |
| Betfair | 3.40 | 3.80 | 1.95 |
| Dafabet | 3.35 | 3.60 | 1.98 |
| Marathonbet | 3.54 | 3.60 | 1.93 |
| Pinnacle | 3.58 | 3.69 | 1.94 |
| SBO | 3.04 | 3.24 | 1.96 |
| Superbet | 3.35 | 3.55 | 2.00 |
| Unibet | 3.50 | 3.65 | 1.83 |
| William Hill | 3.30 | 3.30 | 1.91 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .