Superettan · Full time ·Matchday 24

Orebro SK vs United Nordic

1 – 1 Full time

16′Jacob Ortmark
56′John Stenberg
63′Jacob OrtmarkSamuel Wikman
66′Erdal Rakip
70′christian aphremTheodor Johansson
70′Shergo shhabadi fisic
70′Elias DurmazAmar eminovic
77′Theodor Johansson
78′Erdal Rakiphampus soderstrom
83′Liiban Abdirahman Abadid
85′Max Watson
87′Liiban Abdirahman AbadidAlexander Lindgren
88′Emmanuel swedi
89′Manasse Kusu
90′teo gronborg

Behrn Arena

Orebro SK 42%
Draw 26%
United Nordic 31%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

17 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 6
55 Possession % 45
9 Corners 5

Orebro SK vs United Nordic overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Orebro SK vs United Nordic

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityOrebro SKDrawUnited Nordic
Model45.2%25.8%29.0%
Market41.3%26.6%32.1%
Final42.3%26.4%31.3%
Edge+3.8%-0.8%-3.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Orebro SK

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.71 vs 1.34.
  • The market prices Orebro SK below the model: +3.8 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Orebro SK ↓ / United Nordic → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 12% 7% 2 7% 9% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 59%
No goals 6%

Orebro SK and United Nordic expected goals

Orebro SK 1.71
United Nordic 1.34

Total expected goals: 3.05

Orebro SK and United Nordic attack and defence ratings

Orebro SK

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 0.99 -1%

United Nordic

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Orebro SK vs United Nordic: result vs prediction

Orebro SK 1 – 1 United Nordic

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 24 fixtures

Superettan

Before and after this match

Orebro SK vs United Nordic markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Orebro SK 42.3% 2.36 +3.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58.7% 1.70 — —
Both teams to score Yes 61.5% 1.63 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.6% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 54.8% 1.82 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Orebro SK42.3%
Draw26.4%
United Nordic31.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558.7%
Under 2.541.3%
Both teams to scoreYes61.5%
No38.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.7%
12 (either side)73.6%
X2 (draw or away)57.7%
Handicap -1Orebro SK win24.5%
Push (exactly one goal)20.6%
Loss54.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.0%
2-19.3%
1-27.3%

Orebro SK vs United Nordic stats

Orebro SK and United Nordic recent form

newest first
Orebro SK WLDWWD
United Nordic LWLWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Orebro SK and United Nordic going into this match

league record before kick-off

Orebro SK record

  • They have won 5 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 23 matches.

United Nordic record

  • They have won 9 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 23 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Orebro SK vs United Nordic head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Orebro SK wins 0Draws 1United Nordic wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-19United NordicOrebro SKSuperettan2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Orebro SK vs United Nordic odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.3%, draw 26.5%, away 32.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.50 3.60 2.50
1xBet 2.25 3.52 2.90
Bet365 2.25 3.50 3.00
BetVictor 2.25 3.50 2.90
Betano 2.25 3.45 2.90
Betfair 2.25 3.60 2.88
Dafabet 2.49 3.45 2.55
Marathonbet 2.23 3.52 2.89
Pinnacle 2.26 3.68 2.99
SBO 2.23 3.28 2.81
Unibet 2.48 3.35 2.48
William Hill 2.20 3.30 2.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.25 ▼ -0.23
X 3.50 ▲ +0.10
2 2.90 ▲ +0.38

14 snapshots recorded, from .