Superettan
·
Full time
·Matchday 24
IK brage
vs
Sandviken
1 – 1 Full time
| 28′ | Albin Sporrong | ||
| 39′ | alan carleton | ||
| 58′ | Mohammed Sadat AbubakariWilhelm Nilsson | ||
| 58′ | Victor BackmanChristian Wagner | ||
| 58′ | Lasse Bruun Madsen | ||
| 62′ | Alex MortensenGideon Granstrom | ||
| 62′ | Ozor Victor OkekeNoah Östberg | ||
| 63′ | Anton Lundin | ||
| 71′ | Daniel BergmanNicholas Vainio | ||
| 71′ | Yabets yaya yalisoMohammed Mahammed | ||
| 74′ | Gideon Granstrom | ||
| 75′ | Anton Lundinmass sise | ||
| 79′ | Nils Kasper Zidane·Harletunchristopher rogers |
IK brage
30%
Draw
26%
Sandviken
44%
Match stats
| 11 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 40 | Possession % | 60 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
IK brage vs Sandviken overview
Garuda Lions analysis: IK brage vs Sandviken
| Probability | IK brage | Draw | Sandviken |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.2% | 24.2% | 53.5% |
| Market | 32.4% | 26.3% | 41.2% |
| Final | 29.9% | 25.8% | 44.3% |
| Edge | -10.2% | -2.1% | +12.3% |
Why Sandviken
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.92 vs 1.18.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Sandviken below the model: +12.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
83%
3+ goals
60%
No goals
6%
IK brage and Sandviken expected goals
IK brage
1.18
Sandviken
1.92
Total expected goals: 3.10
IK brage and Sandviken attack and defence ratings
IK brage
Attack
0.90 -10%
Defence
1.34 +34%
Sandviken
Attack
1.10 +10%
Defence
0.85 -15%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
IK brage vs Sandviken: result vs prediction
IK brage 1 – 1 Sandviken
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 24 fixtures
Before and after this match
IK brage vs Sandviken markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sandviken | 44.3% | 2.26 | +12.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | IK brage | 29.9% |
| Draw | 25.8% | |
| Sandviken | 44.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.2% |
| No | 39.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 55.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sandviken win | 31.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.9% | |
| Loss | 46.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.2% |
| 1-2 | 9.8% | |
| 0-2 | 8.3% |
IK brage vs Sandviken stats
IK brage and Sandviken recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
IK brage and Sandviken going into this match
IK brage record
- They have won 5 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 23 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sandviken record
- They have won 8 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
IK brage vs Sandviken head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
4IK brage wins
0Draws
5Sandviken wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Sandviken | IK brage | Superettan | 3-2 |
| 2026-02-07 | Sandviken | IK brage | Friendlies Clubs | 2-3 |
| 2025-08-02 | Sandviken | IK brage | Superettan | 2-5 |
| 2025-06-27 | IK brage | Sandviken | Superettan | 1-2 |
| 2025-06-06 | IK brage | Sandviken | Friendlies Clubs | 3-2 |
| 2025-02-08 | Sandviken | IK brage | Friendlies Clubs | 2-1 |
| 2024-09-28 | IK brage | Sandviken | Superettan | 1-2 |
| 2024-07-14 | IK brage | Sandviken | Friendlies Clubs | 1-2 |
| 2024-05-04 | Sandviken | IK brage | Superettan | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
IK brage vs Sandviken odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 33.2%, draw 25.9%, away 40.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.88 | 3.52 | 2.23 |
| Bet365 | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.25 |
| BetVictor | 2.88 | 3.60 | 2.25 |
| Betano | 2.77 | 3.55 | 2.30 |
| Betfair | 2.75 | 3.80 | 2.25 |
| Dafabet | 2.15 | 3.65 | 2.95 |
| Marathonbet | 2.86 | 3.52 | 2.21 |
| Pinnacle | 2.97 | 3.73 | 2.25 |
| SBO | 2.74 | 3.35 | 2.24 |
| Unibet | 2.05 | 3.60 | 2.95 |
| William Hill | 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.86 ▲ +0.75
X
3.52 ▼ -0.10
2
2.25 ▼ -0.67
14 snapshots recorded, from .