Superettan · Full time ·Matchday 25

Sandviken vs Orebro SK

4 – 2 Full time

6′christopher rogers
7′Karl Holmberg
24′Karl Holmberg
36′Victor Backman
39′Jakub·Ojrzynski
45′Victor Backman
50′Johan Arvidsson
67′Karl BohmDaniel Bergman
67′christopher rogersMohammed Sadat Abubakari
71′Fabian Andersson
74′Samuel WikmanJacob Ortmark
79′Mohammed Sadat Abubakari
80′Erdal RakipEdwin Ibrahimbegovic
82′Wilhelm NilssonNils Kasper Zidane·Harletun
87′Mohammed MahammedIsac·Lindholm
87′Victor BackmanYabets yaya yaliso
88′Manasse KusuChristopher Redenstrand
88′Yabets yaya yaliso
89′Johan Arvidsson
90′Sandviken

Jernvallens Arena, SandvikenReferee: Max Persson

Sandviken 46%
Draw 27%
Orebro SK 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 6
58 Possession % 42
7 Corners 6

Sandviken vs Orebro SK overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sandviken vs Orebro SK

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySandvikenDrawOrebro SK
Model44.9%27.8%27.2%
Market46.0%26.1%27.9%
Final45.7%26.6%27.7%
Edge-1.1%+1.7%-0.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Sandviken

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.52 vs 1.15.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sandviken ↓ / Orebro SK → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 7% 1 9% 13% 7% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

Sandviken and Orebro SK expected goals

Sandviken 1.52
Orebro SK 1.15

Total expected goals: 2.66

Sandviken and Orebro SK attack and defence ratings

Sandviken

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Orebro SK

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sandviken vs Orebro SK: result vs prediction

Sandviken 4 – 2 Orebro SK

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 25 fixtures

Superettan

Before and after this match

Sandviken vs Orebro SK markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sandviken 45.7% 2.19 -1.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50.1% 2.00 — —
Both teams to score Yes 54.5% 1.83 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.4% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.4% 1.80 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sandviken45.7%
Draw26.6%
Orebro SK27.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.549.9%
Under 2.550.1%
Both teams to scoreYes54.5%
No45.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.3%
12 (either side)73.4%
X2 (draw or away)54.3%
Handicap -1Sandviken win22.9%
Push (exactly one goal)21.6%
Loss55.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.3%
1-09.4%
2-19.2%

Sandviken vs Orebro SK stats

Sandviken and Orebro SK recent form

newest first
Sandviken DLWDDW
Orebro SK DWLDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sandviken and Orebro SK going into this match

league record before kick-off

Sandviken record

  • They have won 8 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 24 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Orebro SK record

  • They have won 5 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 24 matches.

Sandviken vs Orebro SK head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3Sandviken wins 2Draws 3Orebro SK wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-22Orebro SKSandvikenSuperettan1-1
2026-02-01Orebro SKSandvikenFriendlies Clubs0-0
2025-08-30SandvikenOrebro SKSuperettan2-1
2025-06-13Orebro SKSandvikenSuperettan0-1
2024-09-18Orebro SKSandvikenSuperettan1-0
2024-04-06SandvikenOrebro SKSuperettan2-1
2024-01-28Orebro SKSandvikenFriendlies Clubs2-1
2021-09-01SandvikenOrebro SKSvenska Cupen0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Sandviken vs Orebro SK odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 46.0%, draw 26.1%, away 27.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.02 3.50 3.34
Bet365 1.95 3.60 3.10
BetVictor 2.00 3.60 3.30
Betano 2.10 3.45 3.15
Betfair 1.95 3.70 3.30
Marathonbet 1.99 3.52 3.34
Pinnacle 2.07 3.63 3.45
SBO 2.01 3.13 3.02
William Hill 2.00 3.25 3.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.00 ▲ +0.02
X 3.52 ▼ -0.15
2 3.30 ▲ +0.07

8 snapshots recorded, from .