Superettan · Full time ·Matchday 25

Osters IF vs IFK Norrkoping

1 – 3 Full time

19′Filip Olsson
29′Elias Jemal
39′Ryan Lee Nelson
49′Matias Tamminen
65′Kalipha Jawla
71′Ryan Lee NelsonTure Sandberg
71′Viggo Olle FalthJonas Bertheussen Weber
79′Alexander FranssonAxel Vilhelm Lorens Brönner
81′Filip Olssonwilliam thellsson
81′Tatu VarmanenRaymond Adjei
82′Elias Jemal
88′Moutaz NeffatiAlbert aleksanjan
88′Viktor ChristianssonIsak Andri Sigurgeirsson

Spiris Arena, VäxjöReferee: Fredrik Oppong

Osters IF 24%
Draw 25%
IFK Norrkoping 51%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 9
43 Possession % 57
5 Corners 10

Osters IF vs IFK Norrkoping overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Osters IF vs IFK Norrkoping

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityOsters IFDrawIFK Norrkoping
Model26.4%29.0%44.6%
Market23.6%23.6%52.7%
Final24.3%25.0%50.7%
Edge+2.8%+5.3%-8.1%

Confidence: Low

Why IFK Norrkoping

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.44 vs 1.05.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Osters IF ↓ / IFK Norrkoping → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 11% 9% 1 7% 14% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 45%
No goals 10%

Osters IF and IFK Norrkoping expected goals

Osters IF 1.05
IFK Norrkoping 1.44

Total expected goals: 2.49

Osters IF and IFK Norrkoping attack and defence ratings

Osters IF

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 0.87 -13%

IFK Norrkoping

Attack 1.28 +28%
Defence 0.56 -44%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Osters IF vs IFK Norrkoping: result vs prediction

Osters IF 1 – 3 IFK Norrkoping

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 25 fixtures

Superettan

Before and after this match

Osters IF vs IFK Norrkoping markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 IFK Norrkoping 50.7% 1.97 -8.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 54.7% 1.83 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.9% 1.97 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 75.7% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.4% 1.81 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Osters IF24.3%
Draw25.0%
IFK Norrkoping50.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.545.3%
Under 2.554.7%
Both teams to scoreYes50.9%
No49.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)49.3%
12 (either side)75.0%
X2 (draw or away)75.7%
Handicap -1IFK Norrkoping win22.4%
Push (exactly one goal)22.3%
Loss55.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.8%
0-110.7%
0-09.6%

Osters IF vs IFK Norrkoping stats

Osters IF and IFK Norrkoping recent form

newest first
Osters IF WLLDWW
IFK Norrkoping DWDWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Osters IF and IFK Norrkoping going into this match

league record before kick-off

Osters IF record

  • They have won 11 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 24 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

IFK Norrkoping record

  • They have won 16 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 13 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 24 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 7 matches.
  • 48% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Osters IF vs IFK Norrkoping head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

0Osters IF wins 1Draws 4IFK Norrkoping wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-25IFK NorrkopingOsters IFSuperettan2-0
2026-03-14Osters IFIFK NorrkopingFriendlies Clubs1-3
2025-08-25Osters IFIFK NorrkopingAllsvenskan1-2
2025-03-30IFK NorrkopingOsters IFAllsvenskan4-3
2022-02-19IFK NorrkopingOsters IFSvenska Cupen1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Osters IF vs IFK Norrkoping odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 23.6%, draw 23.6%, away 52.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.92 3.94 1.75
Bet365 3.75 3.60 1.73
BetVictor 3.90 4.00 1.75
Betano 3.80 3.80 1.80
Betfair 4.00 4.10 1.73
Marathonbet 3.92 3.90 1.74
Pinnacle 3.92 4.19 1.79
SBO 3.46 3.45 1.76
William Hill 3.60 3.70 1.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.90 ▼ -0.05
X 3.90 ▲ +0.08
2 1.75 ▲ +0.02

8 snapshots recorded, from .