IFK Norrkoping
vs
GIF Sundsvall
Garuda Lions Prediction: IFK Norrkoping
2 – 0 Predicted score · 15% model probability
IFK Norrkoping vs GIF Sundsvall overview
Garuda Lions analysis: IFK Norrkoping vs GIF Sundsvall
| Probability | IFK Norrkoping | Draw | GIF Sundsvall |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 83.9% | 12.2% | 3.8% |
| Market | 78.3% | 13.7% | 8.0% |
| Final | 79.7% | 13.3% | 7.0% |
| Edge | +5.6% | -1.5% | -4.2% |
Why IFK Norrkoping
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.76 vs 0.49.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices IFK Norrkoping below the model: +5.6 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 1.21, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
IFK Norrkoping vs GIF Sundsvall match preview
IFK Norrkoping is heavily favored in their upcoming match against GIF Sundsvall, with model probabilities indicating an 84% chance of victory. The expected goals suggest a strong offensive performance from Norrkoping, projected at 2.76, while GIF Sundsvall is only expected to score 0.49 goals. Recent form shows Norrkoping with a solid record of three wins and two draws in their last five matches, contrasting with Sundsvall's mixed results of three wins and two losses.
The most likely scoreline is predicted to be 2-0 in favor of Norrkoping, occurring with a 15% probability. Additionally, there is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match, while both teams scoring is less likely at 37%. In their last head-to-head encounter, Norrkoping secured a win, further emphasizing their current advantage.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
IFK Norrkoping and GIF Sundsvall expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.26
IFK Norrkoping and GIF Sundsvall attack and defence ratings
IFK Norrkoping
GIF Sundsvall
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
Before and after this match
IFK Norrkoping vs GIF Sundsvall markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | IFK Norrkoping | 79.7% | 1.25 | +5.6% | 1.21 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.0% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | IFK Norrkoping win | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | IFK Norrkoping | 79.7% |
| Draw | 13.3% | |
| GIF Sundsvall | 7.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.0% |
| No | 63.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 86.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 20.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | IFK Norrkoping win | 64.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.2% | |
| Loss | 16.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 14.7% |
| 3-0 | 13.6% | |
| 1-0 | 10.1% |
IFK Norrkoping vs GIF Sundsvall stats
IFK Norrkoping and GIF Sundsvall recent form
| IFK Norrkoping |
WDWDWW |
| GIF Sundsvall |
WLLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
IFK Norrkoping and GIF Sundsvall season so far
IFK Norrkoping record
- They have won 16 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 7 matches.
- 48% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
GIF Sundsvall record
- They have won 5 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 24 matches.
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
IFK Norrkoping vs GIF Sundsvall head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | GIF Sundsvall | IFK Norrkoping | Superettan | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
IFK Norrkoping vs GIF Sundsvall odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 78.3%, draw 13.7%, away 8.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.18 | 6.75 | 12.10 |
| BetVictor | 1.17 | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| Betano | 1.21 | 6.20 | 10.75 |
| Betfair | 1.17 | 6.50 | 14.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.19 | 6.80 | 11.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.17 | 6.75 | 12.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.19 | 7.20 | 10.58 |
| William Hill | 1.18 | 6.00 | 11.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .