IFK Varnamo
vs
Falkenbergs FF
Garuda Lions Prediction: IFK Varnamo
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
IFK Varnamo vs Falkenbergs FF overview
Garuda Lions analysis: IFK Varnamo vs Falkenbergs FF
| Probability | IFK Varnamo | Draw | Falkenbergs FF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.0% | 27.0% | 38.0% |
| Market | 39.8% | 26.7% | 33.4% |
| Final | 38.6% | 26.8% | 34.6% |
| Edge | -4.8% | +0.3% | +4.5% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.40, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
IFK Varnamo vs Falkenbergs FF match preview
IFK Varnamo faces Falkenbergs FF in their upcoming Superettan clash, with model probabilities indicating a close match. IFK Varnamo has a 38% chance of winning, while Falkenbergs FF stands at 35%, and a draw is predicted at 27%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of IFK Varnamo, with an 8% probability. Both teams are expected to score, with a 60% likelihood, and the match has a 56% chance of featuring over 2.5 goals.
In terms of recent form, IFK Varnamo has recorded a W-L-W-D-W-D streak, while Falkenbergs FF has a mixed record of D-W-W-L-W-L. The expected goals for IFK Varnamo is 1.42, slightly lower than Falkenbergs FF's 1.49. Historically, in their last encounter, Falkenbergs FF emerged victorious, adding an interesting dynamic to this matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
IFK Varnamo and Falkenbergs FF expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.91
IFK Varnamo and Falkenbergs FF attack and defence ratings
IFK Varnamo
Falkenbergs FF
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
Before and after this match
IFK Varnamo vs Falkenbergs FF markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | IFK Varnamo | 38.6% | 2.59 | -4.8% | 2.40 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | IFK Varnamo | 38.6% |
| Draw | 26.8% | |
| Falkenbergs FF | 34.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.9% |
| No | 40.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | IFK Varnamo win | 16.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.2% | |
| Loss | 65.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.7% |
| 1-2 | 8.6% | |
| 2-1 | 8.2% |
IFK Varnamo vs Falkenbergs FF stats
IFK Varnamo and Falkenbergs FF recent form
| IFK Varnamo |
WLWDWD |
| Falkenbergs FF |
DWWLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
IFK Varnamo and Falkenbergs FF season so far
IFK Varnamo record
- They have won 7 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Falkenbergs FF record
- They have won 13 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
IFK Varnamo vs Falkenbergs FF head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Falkenbergs FF | IFK Varnamo | Superettan | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
IFK Varnamo vs Falkenbergs FF odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 39.8%, draw 26.7%, away 33.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.32 | 3.48 | 2.77 |
| Bet365 | 2.38 | 3.30 | 2.55 |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.80 |
| Betano | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.70 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.75 |
| Dafabet | 2.39 | 3.45 | 2.70 |
| Marathonbet | 2.30 | 3.48 | 2.75 |
| Pinnacle | 2.36 | 3.43 | 2.89 |
| SBO | 2.25 | 3.14 | 2.58 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.20 | 2.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .