Superettan · 2026-10-11T15:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 26

IK brage vs Helsingborg

2 – 0 Full time

8′			Alexander Zetterstrom
35′			Lasse Bruun Madsen
42′			mass siseOzor Victor Okeke
69′			Julian Larsson
70′			Max SvenssonLeo Hedenberg
70′			Julian LarssonTimothé Rupil
70′			Erik LindellOsman Abdulkadir Addo
77′			Noah Östberg
78′			Lasse Bruun MadsenGustav Berggren
80′			York RafaelAlex Mortensen
83′			Anton Lundin
86′			Anton LundinPontus Jonsson
90′			Ozor Victor Okeke

Domnarvsvallen, BorlangeReferee: Fredrik Oppong

IK brage

40%

Draw

26%

Helsingborg

34%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

16	Shots	7
6	Shots on target	1
59	Possession %	41
7	Corners	8

IK brage vs Helsingborg overview

Garuda Lions analysis: IK brage vs Helsingborg

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	IK brage	Draw	Helsingborg
Model	33.2%	25.8%	41.0%
Market	41.9%	26.0%	32.1%
Final	39.7%	25.9%	34.4%
Edge	-2.2%	-0.1%	+2.2%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

95%

2+ goals

83%

3+ goals

61%

No goals

IK brage and Helsingborg expected goals

IK brage

1.47

Helsingborg

1.66

Total expected goals: 3.13

IK brage and Helsingborg attack and defence ratings

IK brage

Attack

0.91 -9%

Defence

1.33 +33%

Helsingborg

Attack

0.95 -5%

Defence

1.03 +3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

IK brage vs Helsingborg: result vs prediction

IK brage 2 – 0 Helsingborg

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 26 fixtures

Superettan

Landskrona BoIS vs Sandviken — team news & stats · 2026-10-10
Ostersunds FK vs Varbergs BoIS FC · 2026-10-10
Norrby IF v Osters IF — match page · 2026-10-10
Oddevold vs United Nordic — team news & stats · 2026-10-10
Orebro SK vs Ljungskile SK · 2026-10-11
IFK Varnamo v Falkenbergs FF — match page · 2026-10-11
IFK Norrkoping vs GIF Sundsvall · 2026-10-13

Before and after this match

IK brage, previous: Varbergs BoIS FC – IK brage, 2026-09-19
IK brage, next: Ljungskile SK – IK brage, 2026-10-17
Helsingborg, previous: Helsingborg – Norrby IF, 2026-09-20
Helsingborg, next: Varbergs BoIS FC v Helsingborg analysis

IK brage vs Helsingborg markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	IK brage	39.7%	2.52	-2.2%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	60.5%	1.65	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	63.4%	1.58	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	74.1%	1.35	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	66.8%	1.50	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	IK brage	39.7%
	Draw	25.9%
	Helsingborg	34.4%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	60.5%
	Under 2.5	39.5%
Both teams to score	Yes	63.4%
	No	36.6%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	65.6%
	12 (either side)	74.1%
	X2 (draw or away)	60.3%
Handicap -1	IK brage win	16.0%
	Push (exactly one goal)	17.2%
	Loss	66.8%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	11.7%
	1-2	8.8%
	2-1	7.9%

IK brage vs Helsingborg stats

IK brage and Helsingborg recent form

newest first

IK brage	LDDLLL
Helsingborg	DLWLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

IK brage and Helsingborg going into this match

league record before kick-off

IK brage record

They have won 5 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
They have kept 4 clean sheets in 25 matches.
They have failed to score in 6 of 25 matches.
43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Helsingborg record

They have won 8 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
They have kept 3 clean sheets in 25 matches.
They have failed to score in 6 of 25 matches.
35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

IK brage vs Helsingborg head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2IK brage wins 2Draws 6Helsingborg wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-05-03	Helsingborg	IK brage	Superettan	2-0
2025-10-25	IK brage	Helsingborg	Superettan	3-2
2025-05-13	Helsingborg	IK brage	Superettan	1-0
2024-08-27	IK brage	Helsingborg	Superettan	0-3
2024-04-09	Helsingborg	IK brage	Superettan	1-1
2023-11-04	Helsingborg	IK brage	Superettan	2-0
2023-04-22	IK brage	Helsingborg	Superettan	1-0
2021-10-31	Helsingborg	IK brage	Superettan	3-0
2021-05-09	IK brage	Helsingborg	Superettan	0-0
2018-09-19	Helsingborg	IK brage	Superettan	4-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

IK brage vs Helsingborg odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.9%, draw 26.0%, away 32.1%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.24	3.54	2.85
Bet365	2.10	3.40	2.88
BetVictor	2.20	3.60	2.90
Betano	2.22	3.50	2.92
Betfair	2.20	3.60	2.90
Dafabet	2.28	3.60	2.85
Marathonbet	2.22	3.54	2.83
Pinnacle	2.20	3.97	2.92
SBO	2.17	3.28	2.74
William Hill	2.15	3.50	2.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.20 ▼ -0.11

X 3.54 —

2 2.87 ▲ +0.22

15 snapshots recorded, from 2026-10-04T08:10:02Z.