IK brage
vs
Helsingborg
Garuda Lions Prediction: IK brage
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
IK brage vs Helsingborg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: IK brage vs Helsingborg
| Probability | IK brage | Draw | Helsingborg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.0% | 25.7% | 41.2% |
| Market | 39.8% | 26.0% | 34.2% |
| Final | 38.1% | 25.9% | 36.0% |
| Edge | -6.8% | -0.2% | +7.0% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.38, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
IK brage vs Helsingborg match preview
IK Brage faces Helsingborg in a Superettan clash where the model gives IK Brage a 38% chance of winning, while Helsingborg has a 36% probability. The likelihood of a draw stands at 26%. The most probable scoreline is 2-1 in favor of IK Brage, with an 8% chance of occurring. The match is expected to see over 2.5 goals at 61%, and both teams are anticipated to score, with a probability of 63%.
In terms of recent form, IK Brage has struggled with six matches without a win, recording five losses and one draw. Conversely, Helsingborg has shown slightly better form, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. Historically, in their last three encounters, IK Brage has one win while Helsingborg has two victories.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
IK brage and Helsingborg expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.13
IK brage and Helsingborg attack and defence ratings
IK brage
Helsingborg
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
Before and after this match
IK brage vs Helsingborg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | IK brage | 38.1% | 2.62 | -6.8% | 2.38 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.0% | 1.49 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | IK brage | 38.1% |
| Draw | 25.9% | |
| Helsingborg | 36.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.4% |
| No | 36.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | IK brage win | 15.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.1% | |
| Loss | 67.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.7% |
| 1-2 | 8.9% | |
| 2-1 | 7.8% |
IK brage vs Helsingborg stats
IK brage and Helsingborg recent form
| IK brage |
LDDLLL |
| Helsingborg |
DLWLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
IK brage and Helsingborg season so far
IK brage record
- They have won 5 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 24 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Helsingborg record
- They have won 8 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 24 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
IK brage vs Helsingborg head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Helsingborg | IK brage | Superettan | 2-0 |
| 2025-10-25 | IK brage | Helsingborg | Superettan | 3-2 |
| 2025-05-13 | Helsingborg | IK brage | Superettan | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
IK brage vs Helsingborg odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 39.8%, draw 26.0%, away 34.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.33 | 3.54 | 2.67 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.40 | 2.62 |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.80 |
| Betano | 2.32 | 3.55 | 2.70 |
| Betfair | 2.38 | 3.75 | 2.70 |
| Dafabet | 2.32 | 3.55 | 2.70 |
| Marathonbet | 2.33 | 3.54 | 2.67 |
| Pinnacle | 2.28 | 3.88 | 2.71 |
| SBO | 2.23 | 3.20 | 2.57 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .