Varbergs BoIS FC
vs
Helsingborg
Garuda Lions Prediction: Varbergs BoIS FC
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Varbergs BoIS FC vs Helsingborg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Varbergs BoIS FC vs Helsingborg
| Probability | Varbergs BoIS FC | Draw | Helsingborg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.6% | 23.9% | 19.4% |
| Market | 51.2% | 25.1% | 23.7% |
| Final | 52.5% | 24.8% | 22.6% |
| Edge | +5.4% | -1.2% | -4.3% |
Why Varbergs BoIS FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.07.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Varbergs BoIS FC below the model: +5.4 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 1.90, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Varbergs BoIS FC vs Helsingborg match preview
Varbergs BoIS FC is favored to win against Helsingborg with a 53% probability, while the chances of a draw stand at 25% and Helsingborg at 22%. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 2-1, with an expected goals tally of 1.93 for Varbergs BoIS FC compared to 1.07 for Helsingborg. Additionally, there is a 58% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance that both teams will score.
In terms of recent form, Varbergs BoIS FC has recorded a D-W-W-L-D-W streak, while Helsingborg's latest results show L-D-L-W-L-D. Historically, Varbergs BoIS FC has dominated their last three encounters with Helsingborg, winning all three matches without any draws. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, indicating moderate confidence in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Varbergs BoIS FC and Helsingborg expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.00
Varbergs BoIS FC and Helsingborg attack and defence ratings
Varbergs BoIS FC
Helsingborg
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
Before and after this match
Varbergs BoIS FC vs Helsingborg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Varbergs BoIS FC | 52.5% | 1.90 | +5.4% | 1.90 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.4% | 2.30 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Varbergs BoIS FC | 52.5% |
| Draw | 24.8% | |
| Helsingborg | 22.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.1% |
| No | 42.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Varbergs BoIS FC win | 34.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 43.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.3% |
Varbergs BoIS FC vs Helsingborg stats
Varbergs BoIS FC and Helsingborg recent form
| Varbergs BoIS FC |
DWWLDW |
| Helsingborg |
LDLWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Varbergs BoIS FC and Helsingborg season so far
Varbergs BoIS FC record
- They have won 13 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
Helsingborg record
- They have won 8 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 25 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Varbergs BoIS FC vs Helsingborg head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-19 | Helsingborg | Varbergs BoIS FC | Superettan | 1-3 |
| 2025-07-28 | Helsingborg | Varbergs BoIS FC | Superettan | 1-2 |
| 2025-05-03 | Varbergs BoIS FC | Helsingborg | Superettan | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Varbergs BoIS FC vs Helsingborg odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.7%, draw 25.5%, away 23.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.81 | 3.68 | 3.91 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.40 | 3.70 |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 3.70 | 3.90 |
| Betano | 1.90 | 3.50 | 3.70 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.87 | 3.55 | 3.85 |
| Marathonbet | 1.79 | 3.68 | 3.90 |
| Pinnacle | 1.83 | 3.69 | 4.07 |
| SBO | 1.86 | 3.17 | 3.38 |
| William Hill | 1.80 | 3.30 | 3.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .